Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin exceeding 25 points. Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without serious opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November 3 general election with substantial fundraising and institutional support. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her primary but trails significantly in resources, faces structural barriers in a district that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Jackson, or an unforeseen national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateIL-01 House Election Winner
IL-01 House Election Winner
$54,755 Vol.
$54,755 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
3%
$54,755 Vol.
$54,755 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
$30,061 Vol.
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
$24,694 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin exceeding 25 points. Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without serious opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November 3 general election with substantial fundraising and institutional support. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her primary but trails significantly in resources, faces structural barriers in a district that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Jackson, or an unforeseen national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$54,755Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin exceeding 25 points. Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without serious opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November 3 general election with substantial fundraising and institutional support. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her primary but trails significantly in resources, faces structural barriers in a district that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Jackson, or an unforeseen national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$54,755Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin exceeding 25 points. Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without serious opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November 3 general election with substantial fundraising and institutional support. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her primary but trails significantly in resources, faces structural barriers in a district that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Jackson, or an unforeseen national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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