**Unity (HaAchdut), the right-wing party founded in August 2026 by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein after splitting from Likud, withdrew from the October 27 Knesset election on September 4.** Failed merger talks with Benny Gantz’s Blue and White and consistently sub-threshold polling results prompted the decision, as party leaders cited limited public appetite for another unity-focused list and no viable path to the 3.25% electoral threshold. With the party removed from all candidate slates ahead of the September filing deadline, its projected vote share stands at zero. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certainty for the under-0.5% bracket, consistent with the mechanics of Israel’s closed-list proportional system. Late reversals remain theoretically possible only if Unity re-enters via an approved alliance before final list certification on September 27, an outcome polls and statements indicate is highly improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update<0.5% 98.9%
0.5-0.75% <1%
1-2% <1%
0.75-1% <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
99%
0.5-0.75%
1%
0.75-1%
<1%
1-2%
1%
2%+
<1%
<0.5% 98.9%
0.5-0.75% <1%
1-2% <1%
0.75-1% <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
$754 Vol.
99%
0.5-0.75%
$218 Vol.
1%
0.75-1%
$200 Vol.
<1%
1-2%
$112 Vol.
1%
2%+
$225 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Unity (HaAchdut), the right-wing party founded in August 2026 by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein after splitting from Likud, withdrew from the October 27 Knesset election on September 4.**
Failed merger talks with Benny Gantz’s Blue and White and consistently sub-threshold polling results prompted the decision, as party leaders cited limited public appetite for another unity-focused list and no viable path to the 3.25% electoral threshold. With the party removed from all candidate slates ahead of the September filing deadline, its projected vote share stands at zero. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certainty for the under-0.5% bracket, consistent with the mechanics of Israel’s closed-list proportional system. Late reversals remain theoretically possible only if Unity re-enters via an approved alliance before final list certification on September 27, an outcome polls and statements indicate is highly improbable.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$1,508Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Unity (HaAchdut), the right-wing party founded in August 2026 by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein after splitting from Likud, withdrew from the October 27 Knesset election on September 4.**
Failed merger talks with Benny Gantz’s Blue and White and consistently sub-threshold polling results prompted the decision, as party leaders cited limited public appetite for another unity-focused list and no viable path to the 3.25% electoral threshold. With the party removed from all candidate slates ahead of the September filing deadline, its projected vote share stands at zero. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certainty for the under-0.5% bracket, consistent with the mechanics of Israel’s closed-list proportional system. Late reversals remain theoretically possible only if Unity re-enters via an approved alliance before final list certification on September 27, an outcome polls and statements indicate is highly improbable.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$1,508Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Unity (HaAchdut), the right-wing party founded in August 2026 by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein after splitting from Likud, withdrew from the October 27 Knesset election on September 4.** Failed merger talks with Benny Gantz’s Blue and White and consistently sub-threshold polling results prompted the decision, as party leaders cited limited public appetite for another unity-focused list and no viable path to the 3.25% electoral threshold. With the party removed from all candidate slates ahead of the September filing deadline, its projected vote share stands at zero. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certainty for the under-0.5% bracket, consistent with the mechanics of Israel’s closed-list proportional system. Late reversals remain theoretically possible only if Unity re-enters via an approved alliance before final list certification on September 27, an outcome polls and statements indicate is highly improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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