Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat has remained in Democratic hands for decades, with no Republican victory since 2002, giving Peggy Flanagan a structural edge after she secured the DFL nomination with 59 percent in the August primary against Rep. Angie Craig. Her position as lieutenant governor, combined with party endorsements and a progressive coalition, has sustained trader consensus around a strong lead. Recent KSTP/SurveyUSA and other polls show the race tightening to a statistical tie amid scrutiny over state fraud investigations, with undecided voters and minor-party ballots potentially decisive. Late developments such as shifts in turnout among key demographics, major campaign events before early voting, or further revelations tied to the fraud issue represent the main paths that could narrow Flanagan's implied probability before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$75,873 Vol.
$75,873 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
8%
$75,873 Vol.
$75,873 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$50,172 Vol.
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$25,701 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat has remained in Democratic hands for decades, with no Republican victory since 2002, giving Peggy Flanagan a structural edge after she secured the DFL nomination with 59 percent in the August primary against Rep. Angie Craig. Her position as lieutenant governor, combined with party endorsements and a progressive coalition, has sustained trader consensus around a strong lead. Recent KSTP/SurveyUSA and other polls show the race tightening to a statistical tie amid scrutiny over state fraud investigations, with undecided voters and minor-party ballots potentially decisive. Late developments such as shifts in turnout among key demographics, major campaign events before early voting, or further revelations tied to the fraud issue represent the main paths that could narrow Flanagan's implied probability before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$75,873Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat has remained in Democratic hands for decades, with no Republican victory since 2002, giving Peggy Flanagan a structural edge after she secured the DFL nomination with 59 percent in the August primary against Rep. Angie Craig. Her position as lieutenant governor, combined with party endorsements and a progressive coalition, has sustained trader consensus around a strong lead. Recent KSTP/SurveyUSA and other polls show the race tightening to a statistical tie amid scrutiny over state fraud investigations, with undecided voters and minor-party ballots potentially decisive. Late developments such as shifts in turnout among key demographics, major campaign events before early voting, or further revelations tied to the fraud issue represent the main paths that could narrow Flanagan's implied probability before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$75,873Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat has remained in Democratic hands for decades, with no Republican victory since 2002, giving Peggy Flanagan a structural edge after she secured the DFL nomination with 59 percent in the August primary against Rep. Angie Craig. Her position as lieutenant governor, combined with party endorsements and a progressive coalition, has sustained trader consensus around a strong lead. Recent KSTP/SurveyUSA and other polls show the race tightening to a statistical tie amid scrutiny over state fraud investigations, with undecided voters and minor-party ballots potentially decisive. Late developments such as shifts in turnout among key demographics, major campaign events before early voting, or further revelations tied to the fraud issue represent the main paths that could narrow Flanagan's implied probability before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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