Bob Onder's commanding position in the Missouri 3rd congressional district race stems from the area's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and his 2024 general election win with 61 percent of the vote. As incumbent, he secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66 percent, outpacing challenger Bethany Mann's Democratic primary performance. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited crossover support. Onder's substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a successful federal challenge to the current congressional map, a significant national political realignment before November 3, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though none have materially altered the race to date.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
$31,311 Vol.
$31,311 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Bob Onder (R)
93%
Bethany Mann (D)
4%
$31,311 Vol.
$31,311 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Bob Onder (R)
$13,025 Vol.
93%
Bethany Mann (D)
$18,286 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Onder's commanding position in the Missouri 3rd congressional district race stems from the area's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and his 2024 general election win with 61 percent of the vote. As incumbent, he secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66 percent, outpacing challenger Bethany Mann's Democratic primary performance. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited crossover support. Onder's substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a successful federal challenge to the current congressional map, a significant national political realignment before November 3, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though none have materially altered the race to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$31,311Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Onder's commanding position in the Missouri 3rd congressional district race stems from the area's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and his 2024 general election win with 61 percent of the vote. As incumbent, he secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66 percent, outpacing challenger Bethany Mann's Democratic primary performance. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited crossover support. Onder's substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a successful federal challenge to the current congressional map, a significant national political realignment before November 3, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though none have materially altered the race to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,311Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bob Onder's commanding position in the Missouri 3rd congressional district race stems from the area's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and his 2024 general election win with 61 percent of the vote. As incumbent, he secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66 percent, outpacing challenger Bethany Mann's Democratic primary performance. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited crossover support. Onder's substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a successful federal challenge to the current congressional map, a significant national political realignment before November 3, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though none have materially altered the race to date.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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