Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the NC-04 general election due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. As the incumbent, she secured the nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam, demonstrating organizational strength despite a narrow margin. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The November 3, 2026, contest is expected to hinge on baseline turnout patterns in Durham, Orange, and portions of Wake and Chatham counties. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though historical results indicate limited scope for such changes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
$45,730 Vol.
$45,730 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Valerie Foushee (D)
95%
Max Ganorkar (R)
3%
$45,730 Vol.
$45,730 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Valerie Foushee (D)
$14,801 Vol.
95%
Max Ganorkar (R)
$30,929 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the NC-04 general election due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. As the incumbent, she secured the nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam, demonstrating organizational strength despite a narrow margin. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The November 3, 2026, contest is expected to hinge on baseline turnout patterns in Durham, Orange, and portions of Wake and Chatham counties. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though historical results indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$45,730Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the NC-04 general election due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. As the incumbent, she secured the nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam, demonstrating organizational strength despite a narrow margin. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The November 3, 2026, contest is expected to hinge on baseline turnout patterns in Durham, Orange, and portions of Wake and Chatham counties. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though historical results indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,730Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the NC-04 general election due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. As the incumbent, she secured the nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam, demonstrating organizational strength despite a narrow margin. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The November 3, 2026, contest is expected to hinge on baseline turnout patterns in Durham, Orange, and portions of Wake and Chatham counties. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though historical results indicate limited scope for such changes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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