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Politika·Main Election

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Politika·Main Election

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 81%

Stefan Evers 16%

Werner Graf 2.9%

Steffen Krach <1%

Polymarket

$43,085 Vol.

Elif Eralp 81%

Stefan Evers 16%

Werner Graf 2.9%

Steffen Krach <1%

Polymarket

$43,085 Vol.

icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$17,928 Vol.

81%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$14,049 Vol.

16%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$7,425 Vol.

3%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$1,448 Vol.

1%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$2,234 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp, Die Linke’s top candidate for the September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election, leads the market at 80.5% implied probability following her party’s polling surge to around 20–22% in recent surveys. Die Linke’s emphasis on housing affordability, including implementation of the 2021 expropriation referendum and expanded tenant protections, has driven voter momentum in Berlin’s fragmented landscape. Coalition arithmetic favors a three-party arrangement with the SPD and Greens, positioning Eralp to become Governing Mayor if her party emerges strongest. Stefan Evers, the CDU’s replacement candidate after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal, trails at 16.5% amid a tight race with other parties. Resolution depends on post-election coalition negotiations and parliamentary majority formation.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,085
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp, Die Linke’s top candidate for the September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election, leads the market at 80.5% implied probability following her party’s polling surge to around 20–22% in recent surveys. Die Linke’s emphasis on housing affordability, including implementation of the 2021 expropriation referendum and expanded tenant protections, has driven voter momentum in Berlin’s fragmented landscape. Coalition arithmetic favors a three-party arrangement with the SPD and Greens, positioning Eralp to become Governing Mayor if her party emerges strongest. Stefan Evers, the CDU’s replacement candidate after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal, trails at 16.5% amid a tight race with other parties. Resolution depends on post-election coalition negotiations and parliamentary majority formation.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,085
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kaugnay

icon for Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?

Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?

92%
icon for Mananalo ba ang Linke ng pinakamaraming upuan sa eleksyong pambarangay sa Berlin sa 2026?

Mananalo ba ang Linke ng pinakamaraming upuan sa eleksyong pambarangay sa Berlin sa 2026?

59%
Oo
icon for Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?

Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?

40%
Over

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Elif Eralp" sa 81%, sinusundan ng "Stefan Evers" sa 17%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 81¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 81% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" ay naka-generate ng $43.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 11, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" ay "Elif Eralp" sa 81%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 81% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Stefan Evers" sa 17%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.