Tina Kotek holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Oregon governor race due to her status as Democratic incumbent in a state with consistent Democratic registration and voting advantages, combined with historical patterns favoring the sitting governor. Recent polling has shown a tighter contest, with a September DHM Research survey placing Republican Christine Drazan ahead 45% to 43% among likely voters amid low Kotek approval ratings and voter concerns over affordability, housing, education, and homelessness. Drazan, the 2022 nominee, secured her primary and has raised substantial funds ahead of an October 1 debate, while a Pacific Green Party candidate polls near 4% and could influence margins. Forecasting models such as Pollsmax project Kotek winning with roughly 84% probability, reflecting structural Democratic edges that traders appear to weigh more heavily than short-term survey fluctuations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOregon Governor Election Winner
Oregon Governor Election Winner
$49,175 Vol.
$49,175 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Tina Kotek (D)
86%
Christine Drazan (R)
15%
$49,175 Vol.
$49,175 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Tina Kotek (D)
$27,228 Vol.
86%
Christine Drazan (R)
$21,946 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tina Kotek holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Oregon governor race due to her status as Democratic incumbent in a state with consistent Democratic registration and voting advantages, combined with historical patterns favoring the sitting governor. Recent polling has shown a tighter contest, with a September DHM Research survey placing Republican Christine Drazan ahead 45% to 43% among likely voters amid low Kotek approval ratings and voter concerns over affordability, housing, education, and homelessness. Drazan, the 2022 nominee, secured her primary and has raised substantial funds ahead of an October 1 debate, while a Pacific Green Party candidate polls near 4% and could influence margins. Forecasting models such as Pollsmax project Kotek winning with roughly 84% probability, reflecting structural Democratic edges that traders appear to weigh more heavily than short-term survey fluctuations.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$49,175Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tina Kotek holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Oregon governor race due to her status as Democratic incumbent in a state with consistent Democratic registration and voting advantages, combined with historical patterns favoring the sitting governor. Recent polling has shown a tighter contest, with a September DHM Research survey placing Republican Christine Drazan ahead 45% to 43% among likely voters amid low Kotek approval ratings and voter concerns over affordability, housing, education, and homelessness. Drazan, the 2022 nominee, secured her primary and has raised substantial funds ahead of an October 1 debate, while a Pacific Green Party candidate polls near 4% and could influence margins. Forecasting models such as Pollsmax project Kotek winning with roughly 84% probability, reflecting structural Democratic edges that traders appear to weigh more heavily than short-term survey fluctuations.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$49,175Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tina Kotek holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Oregon governor race due to her status as Democratic incumbent in a state with consistent Democratic registration and voting advantages, combined with historical patterns favoring the sitting governor. Recent polling has shown a tighter contest, with a September DHM Research survey placing Republican Christine Drazan ahead 45% to 43% among likely voters amid low Kotek approval ratings and voter concerns over affordability, housing, education, and homelessness. Drazan, the 2022 nominee, secured her primary and has raised substantial funds ahead of an October 1 debate, while a Pacific Green Party candidate polls near 4% and could influence margins. Forecasting models such as Pollsmax project Kotek winning with roughly 84% probability, reflecting structural Democratic edges that traders appear to weigh more heavily than short-term survey fluctuations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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