**The Parti Québécois holds a consistent lead in recent Quebec polling at around 29 percent, driven by strong francophone support and voter desire for change ahead of the October 5 election.** New CAQ leader and Premier Christine Fréchette has stabilized her party near 23 percent through emphasis on the economy and the U.S.-Canada trade context, narrowing the gap but leaving the CAQ behind the PQ in seat projections. The PLQ has slipped to roughly 22 percent amid leadership transition effects, while smaller parties including the PCQ and QS capture enough regional support to fragment the non-PQ vote. This dynamic favors the PQ winning the most seats in the National Assembly under first-past-the-post, though models point to a likely minority outcome. Upcoming debates and final-week campaigning remain key variables that could influence the final distribution of ridings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec
Nagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec
PQ 74%
CAQ 25%
PLQ 2.6%
PCQ <1%
$892,682 Vol.
$892,682 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
74%
CAQ
25%
PLQ
3%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 74%
CAQ 25%
PLQ 2.6%
PCQ <1%
$892,682 Vol.
$892,682 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$120,721 Vol.
74%
CAQ
$137,332 Vol.
25%
PLQ
$123,789 Vol.
3%
PCQ
$246,794 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 Vol.
<1%
QS
$106,523 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**The Parti Québécois holds a consistent lead in recent Quebec polling at around 29 percent, driven by strong francophone support and voter desire for change ahead of the October 5 election.** New CAQ leader and Premier Christine Fréchette has stabilized her party near 23 percent through emphasis on the economy and the U.S.-Canada trade context, narrowing the gap but leaving the CAQ behind the PQ in seat projections. The PLQ has slipped to roughly 22 percent amid leadership transition effects, while smaller parties including the PCQ and QS capture enough regional support to fragment the non-PQ vote. This dynamic favors the PQ winning the most seats in the National Assembly under first-past-the-post, though models point to a likely minority outcome. Upcoming debates and final-week campaigning remain key variables that could influence the final distribution of ridings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$892,682Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**The Parti Québécois holds a consistent lead in recent Quebec polling at around 29 percent, driven by strong francophone support and voter desire for change ahead of the October 5 election.** New CAQ leader and Premier Christine Fréchette has stabilized her party near 23 percent through emphasis on the economy and the U.S.-Canada trade context, narrowing the gap but leaving the CAQ behind the PQ in seat projections. The PLQ has slipped to roughly 22 percent amid leadership transition effects, while smaller parties including the PCQ and QS capture enough regional support to fragment the non-PQ vote. This dynamic favors the PQ winning the most seats in the National Assembly under first-past-the-post, though models point to a likely minority outcome. Upcoming debates and final-week campaigning remain key variables that could influence the final distribution of ridings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$892,682Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The Parti Québécois holds a consistent lead in recent Quebec polling at around 29 percent, driven by strong francophone support and voter desire for change ahead of the October 5 election.** New CAQ leader and Premier Christine Fréchette has stabilized her party near 23 percent through emphasis on the economy and the U.S.-Canada trade context, narrowing the gap but leaving the CAQ behind the PQ in seat projections. The PLQ has slipped to roughly 22 percent amid leadership transition effects, while smaller parties including the PCQ and QS capture enough regional support to fragment the non-PQ vote. This dynamic favors the PQ winning the most seats in the National Assembly under first-past-the-post, though models point to a likely minority outcome. Upcoming debates and final-week campaigning remain key variables that could influence the final distribution of ridings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong