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icon for Texas Senate Election: Turnout
Politika·Turnout

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Texas Senate Election: Turnout
Politika·Turnout

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

10M-10.4M 26%

9.6M-10M 21%

8M-8.4M 14%

9.2M-9.6M 12%

Polymarket
BAGO

10M-10.4M 26%

9.6M-10M 21%

8M-8.4M 14%

9.2M-9.6M 12%

Polymarket
BAGO

<8M

$151 Vol.

12%

8M-8.4M

$79 Vol.

14%

8.4M-8.8M

$60 Vol.

8%

8.8M-9.2M

$199 Vol.

7%

9.2M-9.6M

$79 Vol.

12%

9.6M-10M

$100 Vol.

21%

10M-10.4M

$100 Vol.

26%

10.4M-10.8M

$60 Vol.

9%

10.8M-11.2M

$60 Vol.

10%

11.2M+

$60 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive Texas Senate contest between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, viewed as a toss-up in recent polling, is the primary driver sustaining turnout probabilities clustered around 9.6M–10.4M votes. Record Democratic primary participation exceeding 2.2 million ballots, outpacing Republicans for the first time in recent cycles, signals elevated base enthusiasm that both parties are channeling into general election mobilization of suburban independents, Hispanic voters, and younger demographics. Midterm historical patterns, combined with intensified early voting outreach and issue focus on affordability, anchor trader expectations near 2022–2024 adjusted levels. Late-cycle polling shifts, differential GOTV effectiveness, or unexpected weather on November 3 could separate outcomes within the current tight distribution.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$949
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive Texas Senate contest between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, viewed as a toss-up in recent polling, is the primary driver sustaining turnout probabilities clustered around 9.6M–10.4M votes. Record Democratic primary participation exceeding 2.2 million ballots, outpacing Republicans for the first time in recent cycles, signals elevated base enthusiasm that both parties are channeling into general election mobilization of suburban independents, Hispanic voters, and younger demographics. Midterm historical patterns, combined with intensified early voting outreach and issue focus on affordability, anchor trader expectations near 2022–2024 adjusted levels. Late-cycle polling shifts, differential GOTV effectiveness, or unexpected weather on November 3 could separate outcomes within the current tight distribution.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$949
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Texas Senate Election: Turnout" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "10M-10.4M" sa 26%, sinusundan ng "9.6M-10M" sa 21%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 26¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 26% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Texas Senate Election: Turnout" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 18, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Texas Senate Election: Turnout," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Texas Senate Election: Turnout" ay "10M-10.4M" sa 26%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 26% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "9.6M-10M" sa 21%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Texas Senate Election: Turnout" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.