The recent collapse of acquisition talks drives the 95.3% market-implied probability against a Stripe-PayPal deal closing in 2026. In July, Stripe and Advent International offered roughly $53 billion, or $60.50 per share, but PayPal’s board rejected it as inadequate amid valuation gaps, regulatory hurdles, and financing concerns. The consortium formally abandoned the effort by late August, allowing PayPal to refocus on its turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores and its standalone growth plan. Stripe’s private valuation near $159 billion and PayPal’s discounted forward P/E further underscore limited near-term alignment. While tail risks such as a renewed sweetened bid or sharp deterioration in PayPal’s performance could reopen discussions, the swift withdrawal and absence of follow-on activity reinforce trader consensus on no resolution this year.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update5% tsansa
$91,172 Vol.
$91,172 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
5% tsansa
$91,172 Vol.
$91,172 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent collapse of acquisition talks drives the 95.3% market-implied probability against a Stripe-PayPal deal closing in 2026. In July, Stripe and Advent International offered roughly $53 billion, or $60.50 per share, but PayPal’s board rejected it as inadequate amid valuation gaps, regulatory hurdles, and financing concerns. The consortium formally abandoned the effort by late August, allowing PayPal to refocus on its turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores and its standalone growth plan. Stripe’s private valuation near $159 billion and PayPal’s discounted forward P/E further underscore limited near-term alignment. While tail risks such as a renewed sweetened bid or sharp deterioration in PayPal’s performance could reopen discussions, the swift withdrawal and absence of follow-on activity reinforce trader consensus on no resolution this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$91,172Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent collapse of acquisition talks drives the 95.3% market-implied probability against a Stripe-PayPal deal closing in 2026. In July, Stripe and Advent International offered roughly $53 billion, or $60.50 per share, but PayPal’s board rejected it as inadequate amid valuation gaps, regulatory hurdles, and financing concerns. The consortium formally abandoned the effort by late August, allowing PayPal to refocus on its turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores and its standalone growth plan. Stripe’s private valuation near $159 billion and PayPal’s discounted forward P/E further underscore limited near-term alignment. While tail risks such as a renewed sweetened bid or sharp deterioration in PayPal’s performance could reopen discussions, the swift withdrawal and absence of follow-on activity reinforce trader consensus on no resolution this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,172Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent collapse of acquisition talks drives the 95.3% market-implied probability against a Stripe-PayPal deal closing in 2026. In July, Stripe and Advent International offered roughly $53 billion, or $60.50 per share, but PayPal’s board rejected it as inadequate amid valuation gaps, regulatory hurdles, and financing concerns. The consortium formally abandoned the effort by late August, allowing PayPal to refocus on its turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores and its standalone growth plan. Stripe’s private valuation near $159 billion and PayPal’s discounted forward P/E further underscore limited near-term alignment. While tail risks such as a renewed sweetened bid or sharp deterioration in PayPal’s performance could reopen discussions, the swift withdrawal and absence of follow-on activity reinforce trader consensus on no resolution this year.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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