Trader consensus against Alcatraz reopening as a federal prison in 2026 reflects the absence of congressional appropriations for the White House’s April 2026 request of $152 million in fiscal year 2027 funding, combined with unresolved infrastructure, ownership, and logistical barriers. The island remains under National Park Service management as a popular tourist site, with ongoing seismic upgrades and partial closures extending into 2028. A Bureau of Prisons feasibility assessment launched in 2025 has not produced final cost estimates or operational approvals, while historical operating expenses and supply-chain challenges via boat access continue to weigh against near-term reactivation. Late-session budget action or expedited legislative overrides represent the primary pathways that could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
2% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus against Alcatraz reopening as a federal prison in 2026 reflects the absence of congressional appropriations for the White House’s April 2026 request of $152 million in fiscal year 2027 funding, combined with unresolved infrastructure, ownership, and logistical barriers. The island remains under National Park Service management as a popular tourist site, with ongoing seismic upgrades and partial closures extending into 2028. A Bureau of Prisons feasibility assessment launched in 2025 has not produced final cost estimates or operational approvals, while historical operating expenses and supply-chain challenges via boat access continue to weigh against near-term reactivation. Late-session budget action or expedited legislative overrides represent the primary pathways that could still shift outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,381Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus against Alcatraz reopening as a federal prison in 2026 reflects the absence of congressional appropriations for the White House’s April 2026 request of $152 million in fiscal year 2027 funding, combined with unresolved infrastructure, ownership, and logistical barriers. The island remains under National Park Service management as a popular tourist site, with ongoing seismic upgrades and partial closures extending into 2028. A Bureau of Prisons feasibility assessment launched in 2025 has not produced final cost estimates or operational approvals, while historical operating expenses and supply-chain challenges via boat access continue to weigh against near-term reactivation. Late-session budget action or expedited legislative overrides represent the primary pathways that could still shift outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,381Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus against Alcatraz reopening as a federal prison in 2026 reflects the absence of congressional appropriations for the White House’s April 2026 request of $152 million in fiscal year 2027 funding, combined with unresolved infrastructure, ownership, and logistical barriers. The island remains under National Park Service management as a popular tourist site, with ongoing seismic upgrades and partial closures extending into 2028. A Bureau of Prisons feasibility assessment launched in 2025 has not produced final cost estimates or operational approvals, while historical operating expenses and supply-chain challenges via boat access continue to weigh against near-term reactivation. Late-session budget action or expedited legislative overrides represent the primary pathways that could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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