Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district, a seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus. Crawford advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with reports showing roughly $944,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green’s approximately $65,000. No significant shifts in candidate strength, polling, or district dynamics have emerged since the primaries. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages have historically limited such impacts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$26,590 Обс.
$26,590 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Crawford (R)
98%
Terri Green (D)
1%
$26,590 Обс.
$26,590 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Crawford (R)
$16,331 Обс.
98%
Terri Green (D)
$10,259 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district, a seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus. Crawford advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with reports showing roughly $944,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green’s approximately $65,000. No significant shifts in candidate strength, polling, or district dynamics have emerged since the primaries. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages have historically limited such impacts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$26,590Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district, a seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus. Crawford advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with reports showing roughly $944,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green’s approximately $65,000. No significant shifts in candidate strength, polling, or district dynamics have emerged since the primaries. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages have historically limited such impacts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,590Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district, a seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus. Crawford advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with reports showing roughly $944,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green’s approximately $65,000. No significant shifts in candidate strength, polling, or district dynamics have emerged since the primaries. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages have historically limited such impacts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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