Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30+ points over Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit support for all other registered candidates. The state's Northeast location reinforces PT's longstanding regional base, with recent surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing Lula at 54-58% amid high voter commitment levels near 80%. Flávio Bolsonaro registers as the clearest alternative at 19-24%, while names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos remain marginal. Market pricing reflects this gap, though shifts could arise from late-campaign consolidation among right-leaning voters, changes in turnout patterns, or unforeseen events within the final weeks before voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco
Lula 95.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.5%
Renan Santos <1%
Zema <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
2%
Renan Santos
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Lula 95.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.5%
Renan Santos <1%
Zema <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$5,641 Обс.
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$382 Обс.
2%
Renan Santos
$267 Обс.
<1%
Zema
$281 Обс.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$267 Обс.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$313 Обс.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$324 Обс.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$401 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$324 Обс.
<1%
Samara
$281 Обс.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$280 Обс.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$324 Обс.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$324 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30+ points over Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit support for all other registered candidates. The state's Northeast location reinforces PT's longstanding regional base, with recent surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing Lula at 54-58% amid high voter commitment levels near 80%. Flávio Bolsonaro registers as the clearest alternative at 19-24%, while names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos remain marginal. Market pricing reflects this gap, though shifts could arise from late-campaign consolidation among right-leaning voters, changes in turnout patterns, or unforeseen events within the final weeks before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,408Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30+ points over Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit support for all other registered candidates. The state's Northeast location reinforces PT's longstanding regional base, with recent surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing Lula at 54-58% amid high voter commitment levels near 80%. Flávio Bolsonaro registers as the clearest alternative at 19-24%, while names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos remain marginal. Market pricing reflects this gap, though shifts could arise from late-campaign consolidation among right-leaning voters, changes in turnout patterns, or unforeseen events within the final weeks before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$9,408Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30+ points over Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit support for all other registered candidates. The state's Northeast location reinforces PT's longstanding regional base, with recent surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing Lula at 54-58% amid high voter commitment levels near 80%. Flávio Bolsonaro registers as the clearest alternative at 19-24%, while names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos remain marginal. Market pricing reflects this gap, though shifts could arise from late-campaign consolidation among right-leaning voters, changes in turnout patterns, or unforeseen events within the final weeks before voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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