Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's commanding position in the CA-10 House race reflects the district's strong Democratic lean, with a D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. DeSaulnier secured nearly 60% in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Jeff Frese while other GOP candidates split the remainder. The incumbent's established fundraising edge and the absence of competitive challengers have reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic upset potential.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-10 House Election Winner
CA-10 House Election Winner
$26,535 Обс.
$26,535 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$26,535 Обс.
$26,535 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,622 Обс.
97%
Republican Party
$12,913 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's commanding position in the CA-10 House race reflects the district's strong Democratic lean, with a D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. DeSaulnier secured nearly 60% in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Jeff Frese while other GOP candidates split the remainder. The incumbent's established fundraising edge and the absence of competitive challengers have reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$26,535Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's commanding position in the CA-10 House race reflects the district's strong Democratic lean, with a D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. DeSaulnier secured nearly 60% in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Jeff Frese while other GOP candidates split the remainder. The incumbent's established fundraising edge and the absence of competitive challengers have reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,535Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's commanding position in the CA-10 House race reflects the district's strong Democratic lean, with a D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. DeSaulnier secured nearly 60% in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Jeff Frese while other GOP candidates split the remainder. The incumbent's established fundraising edge and the absence of competitive challengers have reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic upset potential.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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