California’s 37th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+33 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters in 2025 further strengthened the seat’s Democratic tilt. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota, eliminating all Republican contenders and locking in a November general election between two Democrats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader pricing on the party outcome reflects this structural reality. Only an unexpected late development such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or an unprecedented national realignment could reopen meaningful Republican prospects before the November 3 election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-37 House Election Winner
CA-37 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,044 Обс.
96%
Republican Party
$1,356 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 37th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+33 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters in 2025 further strengthened the seat’s Democratic tilt. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota, eliminating all Republican contenders and locking in a November general election between two Democrats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader pricing on the party outcome reflects this structural reality. Only an unexpected late development such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or an unprecedented national realignment could reopen meaningful Republican prospects before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,400Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 37th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+33 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters in 2025 further strengthened the seat’s Democratic tilt. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota, eliminating all Republican contenders and locking in a November general election between two Democrats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader pricing on the party outcome reflects this structural reality. Only an unexpected late development such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or an unprecedented national realignment could reopen meaningful Republican prospects before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,400Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 37th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+33 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters in 2025 further strengthened the seat’s Democratic tilt. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota, eliminating all Republican contenders and locking in a November general election between two Democrats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader pricing on the party outcome reflects this structural reality. Only an unexpected late development such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or an unprecedented national realignment could reopen meaningful Republican prospects before the November 3 election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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