Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in the CA-51 general election due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in San Diego County and her status as the two-term incumbent. In the June 2026 top-two primary, she secured 57.7% of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera’s 37%, advancing both candidates under California’s rules. Independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Jacobs’ prior 60.7% general-election margin in 2024 and a substantial fundraising edge. Cabrera, a cybersecurity business owner, has reported no campaign funds raised as of mid-2026. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or health event could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-51 House Election Winner
CA-51 House Election Winner
$33,957 Обс.
$33,957 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Sara Jacobs (D)
95%
Ricardo Cabrera (R)
5%
$33,957 Обс.
$33,957 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Sara Jacobs (D)
$18,219 Обс.
95%
Ricardo Cabrera (R)
$15,738 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in the CA-51 general election due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in San Diego County and her status as the two-term incumbent. In the June 2026 top-two primary, she secured 57.7% of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera’s 37%, advancing both candidates under California’s rules. Independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Jacobs’ prior 60.7% general-election margin in 2024 and a substantial fundraising edge. Cabrera, a cybersecurity business owner, has reported no campaign funds raised as of mid-2026. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or health event could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,957Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in the CA-51 general election due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in San Diego County and her status as the two-term incumbent. In the June 2026 top-two primary, she secured 57.7% of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera’s 37%, advancing both candidates under California’s rules. Independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Jacobs’ prior 60.7% general-election margin in 2024 and a substantial fundraising edge. Cabrera, a cybersecurity business owner, has reported no campaign funds raised as of mid-2026. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or health event could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$33,957Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in the CA-51 general election due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in San Diego County and her status as the two-term incumbent. In the June 2026 top-two primary, she secured 57.7% of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera’s 37%, advancing both candidates under California’s rules. Independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Jacobs’ prior 60.7% general-election margin in 2024 and a substantial fundraising edge. Cabrera, a cybersecurity business owner, has reported no campaign funds raised as of mid-2026. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal, or health event could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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