Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race in trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round, reflecting polling momentum from surveys showing him ahead or tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data releases placed Ciro between 43% and 52% against Elmano’s 33% to 46%, within margins of error but highlighting Ciro’s gains among men, evangelicals, and those dissatisfied with the current administration. The contest stems from a 2025 party realignment that split former allies, with Ciro backed by a center-right coalition including the PL and União, while Elmano runs on the PT-led Federation Brasil da Esperança ticket with Lula’s support and vice-governor Gabriella Aguiar. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain marginal in both polls and market odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 62%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$216,107 Обс.
$216,107 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
62%
Elmano de Freitas
38%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 62%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$216,107 Обс.
$216,107 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$102,104 Обс.
62%
Elmano de Freitas
$43,123 Обс.
38%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Обс.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Обс.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Обс.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Обс.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race in trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round, reflecting polling momentum from surveys showing him ahead or tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data releases placed Ciro between 43% and 52% against Elmano’s 33% to 46%, within margins of error but highlighting Ciro’s gains among men, evangelicals, and those dissatisfied with the current administration. The contest stems from a 2025 party realignment that split former allies, with Ciro backed by a center-right coalition including the PL and União, while Elmano runs on the PT-led Federation Brasil da Esperança ticket with Lula’s support and vice-governor Gabriella Aguiar. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain marginal in both polls and market odds.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$216,107Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race in trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round, reflecting polling momentum from surveys showing him ahead or tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data releases placed Ciro between 43% and 52% against Elmano’s 33% to 46%, within margins of error but highlighting Ciro’s gains among men, evangelicals, and those dissatisfied with the current administration. The contest stems from a 2025 party realignment that split former allies, with Ciro backed by a center-right coalition including the PL and União, while Elmano runs on the PT-led Federation Brasil da Esperança ticket with Lula’s support and vice-governor Gabriella Aguiar. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain marginal in both polls and market odds.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$216,107Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race in trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round, reflecting polling momentum from surveys showing him ahead or tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data releases placed Ciro between 43% and 52% against Elmano’s 33% to 46%, within margins of error but highlighting Ciro’s gains among men, evangelicals, and those dissatisfied with the current administration. The contest stems from a 2025 party realignment that split former allies, with Ciro backed by a center-right coalition including the PL and União, while Elmano runs on the PT-led Federation Brasil da Esperança ticket with Lula’s support and vice-governor Gabriella Aguiar. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain marginal in both polls and market odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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