Florida's 12th congressional district leans heavily Republican, with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Likely Republican after recent redistricting that strengthened its partisan baseline. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis benefits from long tenure, strong fundraising, and endorsements from local officials and President Trump, while Democrat Kimberly Overman, who won her August 2026 primary, confronts limited resources and a district where Republicans have prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Independent candidate Branden Scrivener adds minimal competition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-12 House Election Winner
FL-12 House Election Winner
$57,307 Обс.
$57,307 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Gus Bilirakis (R)
93%
Kimberly Overman (D)
9%
$57,307 Обс.
$57,307 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Gus Bilirakis (R)
$23,211 Обс.
93%
Kimberly Overman (D)
$34,096 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district leans heavily Republican, with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Likely Republican after recent redistricting that strengthened its partisan baseline. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis benefits from long tenure, strong fundraising, and endorsements from local officials and President Trump, while Democrat Kimberly Overman, who won her August 2026 primary, confronts limited resources and a district where Republicans have prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Independent candidate Branden Scrivener adds minimal competition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Обсяг
$57,307Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district leans heavily Republican, with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Likely Republican after recent redistricting that strengthened its partisan baseline. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis benefits from long tenure, strong fundraising, and endorsements from local officials and President Trump, while Democrat Kimberly Overman, who won her August 2026 primary, confronts limited resources and a district where Republicans have prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Independent candidate Branden Scrivener adds minimal competition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$57,307Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th congressional district leans heavily Republican, with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Likely Republican after recent redistricting that strengthened its partisan baseline. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis benefits from long tenure, strong fundraising, and endorsements from local officials and President Trump, while Democrat Kimberly Overman, who won her August 2026 primary, confronts limited resources and a district where Republicans have prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Independent candidate Branden Scrivener adds minimal competition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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