Recent fractures in France’s fragmented left have driven the 93% trader consensus on cancellation for the October 11, 2026 United Left primary. The Socialist Party’s July 2026 member vote for a closed primary, excluding broader participation, effectively ended momentum for a joint process involving Les Écologistes, L’Après, and Debout!. La France Insoumise and Place Publique declined from the outset, while August statements from LFI coordinator Manuel Bompard declaring the effort “definitively failed” and Marine Tondelier shifting focus reinforced the stalled coalition-building. Key remaining actors have signaled withdrawal or non-participation, aligning with the market’s definition of cancellation via official announcements or insufficient party involvement. A narrow path to proceeding would require rapid reversal by at least three core groups before the scheduled date, an outcome traders currently view as improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFrance United Left Primary Winner
France United Left Primary Winner
Canceled 93.1%
Marine Tondelier 1.4%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$210,958 Обс.
$210,958 Обс.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
93%
Marine Tondelier
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Canceled 93.1%
Marine Tondelier 1.4%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$210,958 Обс.
$210,958 Обс.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
$75,245 Обс.
93%
Marine Tondelier
$49,788 Обс.
1%
François Ruffin
$31,112 Обс.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Обс.
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Обс.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Обс.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent fractures in France’s fragmented left have driven the 93% trader consensus on cancellation for the October 11, 2026 United Left primary. The Socialist Party’s July 2026 member vote for a closed primary, excluding broader participation, effectively ended momentum for a joint process involving Les Écologistes, L’Après, and Debout!. La France Insoumise and Place Publique declined from the outset, while August statements from LFI coordinator Manuel Bompard declaring the effort “definitively failed” and Marine Tondelier shifting focus reinforced the stalled coalition-building. Key remaining actors have signaled withdrawal or non-participation, aligning with the market’s definition of cancellation via official announcements or insufficient party involvement. A narrow path to proceeding would require rapid reversal by at least three core groups before the scheduled date, an outcome traders currently view as improbable.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Обсяг
$210,958Дата завершення
Oct 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent fractures in France’s fragmented left have driven the 93% trader consensus on cancellation for the October 11, 2026 United Left primary. The Socialist Party’s July 2026 member vote for a closed primary, excluding broader participation, effectively ended momentum for a joint process involving Les Écologistes, L’Après, and Debout!. La France Insoumise and Place Publique declined from the outset, while August statements from LFI coordinator Manuel Bompard declaring the effort “definitively failed” and Marine Tondelier shifting focus reinforced the stalled coalition-building. Key remaining actors have signaled withdrawal or non-participation, aligning with the market’s definition of cancellation via official announcements or insufficient party involvement. A narrow path to proceeding would require rapid reversal by at least three core groups before the scheduled date, an outcome traders currently view as improbable.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$210,958Дата завершення
Oct 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent fractures in France’s fragmented left have driven the 93% trader consensus on cancellation for the October 11, 2026 United Left primary. The Socialist Party’s July 2026 member vote for a closed primary, excluding broader participation, effectively ended momentum for a joint process involving Les Écologistes, L’Après, and Debout!. La France Insoumise and Place Publique declined from the outset, while August statements from LFI coordinator Manuel Bompard declaring the effort “definitively failed” and Marine Tondelier shifting focus reinforced the stalled coalition-building. Key remaining actors have signaled withdrawal or non-participation, aligning with the market’s definition of cancellation via official announcements or insufficient party involvement. A narrow path to proceeding would require rapid reversal by at least three core groups before the scheduled date, an outcome traders currently view as improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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