Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff holds a consistent lead in recent polling averages around seven points against Republican nominee Mike Collins, supported by strong fundraising, high name recognition, and favorable voter coalitions among women, younger voters, and nonwhite Georgians. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting Ossoff’s structural advantages in a state Trump carried by a narrow margin in 2024. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Ossoff a commanding implied probability, consistent with these fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions so far. A shift could occur from unusually high Republican turnout, an October surprise on national issues, or sustained erosion in Ossoff’s support among independents, though such developments remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGeorgia Senate Election Winner
Georgia Senate Election Winner
$132,680 Обс.
$132,680 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jon Ossoff (D)
93%
Mike Collins (R)
7%
$132,680 Обс.
$132,680 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jon Ossoff (D)
$53,316 Обс.
93%
Mike Collins (R)
$79,363 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff holds a consistent lead in recent polling averages around seven points against Republican nominee Mike Collins, supported by strong fundraising, high name recognition, and favorable voter coalitions among women, younger voters, and nonwhite Georgians. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting Ossoff’s structural advantages in a state Trump carried by a narrow margin in 2024. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Ossoff a commanding implied probability, consistent with these fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions so far. A shift could occur from unusually high Republican turnout, an October surprise on national issues, or sustained erosion in Ossoff’s support among independents, though such developments remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$132,680Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff holds a consistent lead in recent polling averages around seven points against Republican nominee Mike Collins, supported by strong fundraising, high name recognition, and favorable voter coalitions among women, younger voters, and nonwhite Georgians. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting Ossoff’s structural advantages in a state Trump carried by a narrow margin in 2024. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Ossoff a commanding implied probability, consistent with these fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions so far. A shift could occur from unusually high Republican turnout, an October surprise on national issues, or sustained erosion in Ossoff’s support among independents, though such developments remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$132,680Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff holds a consistent lead in recent polling averages around seven points against Republican nominee Mike Collins, supported by strong fundraising, high name recognition, and favorable voter coalitions among women, younger voters, and nonwhite Georgians. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting Ossoff’s structural advantages in a state Trump carried by a narrow margin in 2024. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Ossoff a commanding implied probability, consistent with these fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions so far. A shift could occur from unusually high Republican turnout, an October surprise on national issues, or sustained erosion in Ossoff’s support among independents, though such developments remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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