Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent strong Democratic performance, including a 25-point margin for the party's presidential candidate in 2024, combined with his established incumbency and unopposed primary win. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who prevailed in her March primary, faces structural disadvantages as a first-time candidate with limited fundraising and name recognition in a district anchored by Chicago's South Side. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-01 House Election Winner
IL-01 House Election Winner
$54,755 Обс.
$54,755 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
3%
$54,755 Обс.
$54,755 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
$30,061 Обс.
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
$24,694 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent strong Democratic performance, including a 25-point margin for the party's presidential candidate in 2024, combined with his established incumbency and unopposed primary win. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who prevailed in her March primary, faces structural disadvantages as a first-time candidate with limited fundraising and name recognition in a district anchored by Chicago's South Side. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$54,755Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent strong Democratic performance, including a 25-point margin for the party's presidential candidate in 2024, combined with his established incumbency and unopposed primary win. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who prevailed in her March primary, faces structural disadvantages as a first-time candidate with limited fundraising and name recognition in a district anchored by Chicago's South Side. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$54,755Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent strong Democratic performance, including a 25-point margin for the party's presidential candidate in 2024, combined with his established incumbency and unopposed primary win. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, who prevailed in her March primary, faces structural disadvantages as a first-time candidate with limited fundraising and name recognition in a district anchored by Chicago's South Side. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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