Incumbent André Carson holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 7th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Carson secured both the Democratic primary and general election positioning with minimal opposition, while Republican nominee Patrick McAuley lacks comparable name recognition or reported fundraising. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and similar outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97 percent for Carson aligns with these structural factors. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIN-07 House Election Winner
IN-07 House Election Winner
$45,726 Обс.
$45,726 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
André Carson (D)
97%
Patrick McAuley (R)
1%
$45,726 Обс.
$45,726 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
André Carson (D)
$7,947 Обс.
97%
Patrick McAuley (R)
$37,779 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent André Carson holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 7th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Carson secured both the Democratic primary and general election positioning with minimal opposition, while Republican nominee Patrick McAuley lacks comparable name recognition or reported fundraising. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and similar outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97 percent for Carson aligns with these structural factors. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,726Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent André Carson holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 7th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Carson secured both the Democratic primary and general election positioning with minimal opposition, while Republican nominee Patrick McAuley lacks comparable name recognition or reported fundraising. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and similar outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97 percent for Carson aligns with these structural factors. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$45,726Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent André Carson holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 7th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Carson secured both the Democratic primary and general election positioning with minimal opposition, while Republican nominee Patrick McAuley lacks comparable name recognition or reported fundraising. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and similar outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97 percent for Carson aligns with these structural factors. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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