Kansas voters will decide the U.S. Senate race on November 3, 2026, pitting Republican incumbent Roger Marshall against Democrat Adam Hamilton. Marshall secured the GOP nomination with roughly 80 percent in the August primary against limited opposition, while Hamilton emerged from a crowded Democratic field with about 35 percent. Kansas has consistently supported Republican Senate candidates for decades, and the state’s partisan lean—reflected in Donald Trump’s 16-point 2024 margin—underpins trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee an 81 percent implied probability. Recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by low single digits, with forecasts from multiple outlets rating the contest Likely Republican. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals, though turnout patterns and any national political shifts before Election Day remain the primary variables that could affect the final margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKansas Senate Election Winner
Kansas Senate Election Winner
$46,377 Обс.
$46,377 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
81%
Democrat
19%
$46,377 Обс.
$46,377 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$30,084 Обс.
81%
Democrat
$16,293 Обс.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas voters will decide the U.S. Senate race on November 3, 2026, pitting Republican incumbent Roger Marshall against Democrat Adam Hamilton. Marshall secured the GOP nomination with roughly 80 percent in the August primary against limited opposition, while Hamilton emerged from a crowded Democratic field with about 35 percent. Kansas has consistently supported Republican Senate candidates for decades, and the state’s partisan lean—reflected in Donald Trump’s 16-point 2024 margin—underpins trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee an 81 percent implied probability. Recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by low single digits, with forecasts from multiple outlets rating the contest Likely Republican. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals, though turnout patterns and any national political shifts before Election Day remain the primary variables that could affect the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$46,377Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas voters will decide the U.S. Senate race on November 3, 2026, pitting Republican incumbent Roger Marshall against Democrat Adam Hamilton. Marshall secured the GOP nomination with roughly 80 percent in the August primary against limited opposition, while Hamilton emerged from a crowded Democratic field with about 35 percent. Kansas has consistently supported Republican Senate candidates for decades, and the state’s partisan lean—reflected in Donald Trump’s 16-point 2024 margin—underpins trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee an 81 percent implied probability. Recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by low single digits, with forecasts from multiple outlets rating the contest Likely Republican. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals, though turnout patterns and any national political shifts before Election Day remain the primary variables that could affect the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$46,377Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas voters will decide the U.S. Senate race on November 3, 2026, pitting Republican incumbent Roger Marshall against Democrat Adam Hamilton. Marshall secured the GOP nomination with roughly 80 percent in the August primary against limited opposition, while Hamilton emerged from a crowded Democratic field with about 35 percent. Kansas has consistently supported Republican Senate candidates for decades, and the state’s partisan lean—reflected in Donald Trump’s 16-point 2024 margin—underpins trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee an 81 percent implied probability. Recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by low single digits, with forecasts from multiple outlets rating the contest Likely Republican. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals, though turnout patterns and any national political shifts before Election Day remain the primary variables that could affect the final margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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