Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais produced a new map for the 6th district that shifted its partisan balance sharply toward Republicans, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and Donald Trump carrying the area by roughly 20 points in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the revised boundaries, creating an open seat. All major forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A crowded jungle primary on November 3, featuring multiple Republican state senators including Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez alongside several Democrats, is expected to produce a GOP nominee who would be heavily favored in any December runoff. The 94.5 percent Republican consensus in the market reflects these structural advantages. A Democratic victory would require an unusually fractured Republican field or sharply lower GOP turnout that has not appeared in early polling or historical patterns for similarly configured districts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLA-06 House Election Winner
LA-06 House Election Winner
$70,735 Обс.
$70,735 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$70,735 Обс.
$70,735 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$39,557 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$31,178 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais produced a new map for the 6th district that shifted its partisan balance sharply toward Republicans, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and Donald Trump carrying the area by roughly 20 points in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the revised boundaries, creating an open seat. All major forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A crowded jungle primary on November 3, featuring multiple Republican state senators including Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez alongside several Democrats, is expected to produce a GOP nominee who would be heavily favored in any December runoff. The 94.5 percent Republican consensus in the market reflects these structural advantages. A Democratic victory would require an unusually fractured Republican field or sharply lower GOP turnout that has not appeared in early polling or historical patterns for similarly configured districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$70,735Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais produced a new map for the 6th district that shifted its partisan balance sharply toward Republicans, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and Donald Trump carrying the area by roughly 20 points in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the revised boundaries, creating an open seat. All major forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A crowded jungle primary on November 3, featuring multiple Republican state senators including Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez alongside several Democrats, is expected to produce a GOP nominee who would be heavily favored in any December runoff. The 94.5 percent Republican consensus in the market reflects these structural advantages. A Democratic victory would require an unusually fractured Republican field or sharply lower GOP turnout that has not appeared in early polling or historical patterns for similarly configured districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$70,735Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais produced a new map for the 6th district that shifted its partisan balance sharply toward Republicans, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and Donald Trump carrying the area by roughly 20 points in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the revised boundaries, creating an open seat. All major forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A crowded jungle primary on November 3, featuring multiple Republican state senators including Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez alongside several Democrats, is expected to produce a GOP nominee who would be heavily favored in any December runoff. The 94.5 percent Republican consensus in the market reflects these structural advantages. A Democratic victory would require an unusually fractured Republican field or sharply lower GOP turnout that has not appeared in early polling or historical patterns for similarly configured districts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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