PAN maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place behind Morena in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because recent national polling consistently places the party ahead of other opposition options in raw vote intention. Surveys from mid-2026 through August show PAN capturing 11-19 percent support, ahead of PRI (8-13 percent), Movimiento Ciudadano (9-12 percent), and smaller parties. The decision by PAN leadership to contest the election independently, rather than renew the prior alliance with PRI, has reinforced its distinct positioning. Fragmented opposition dynamics and the governing coalition’s continued dominance in first-place preference have left limited room for PRI, PVEM, or PT to overtake PAN in projected seat totals under Mexico’s mixed-member proportional system. Upcoming candidate selection and coalition negotiations remain the main variables that could alter the current trader consensus before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 77%
PRI 15.3%
PVEM 6%
MC 1.1%
$84,118 Обс.
$84,118 Обс.
Jun 5, 2027
PAN
77%
PRI
15%
PT
<1%
PVEM
6%
MC
1%
Morena
<1%
PAN 77%
PRI 15.3%
PVEM 6%
MC 1.1%
$84,118 Обс.
$84,118 Обс.
Jun 5, 2027
PAN
$38,456 Обс.
77%
PRI
$14,575 Обс.
15%
PT
$8,011 Обс.
<1%
PVEM
$12,988 Обс.
6%
MC
$4,808 Обс.
1%
Morena
$5,281 Обс.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).PAN maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place behind Morena in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because recent national polling consistently places the party ahead of other opposition options in raw vote intention. Surveys from mid-2026 through August show PAN capturing 11-19 percent support, ahead of PRI (8-13 percent), Movimiento Ciudadano (9-12 percent), and smaller parties. The decision by PAN leadership to contest the election independently, rather than renew the prior alliance with PRI, has reinforced its distinct positioning. Fragmented opposition dynamics and the governing coalition’s continued dominance in first-place preference have left limited room for PRI, PVEM, or PT to overtake PAN in projected seat totals under Mexico’s mixed-member proportional system. Upcoming candidate selection and coalition negotiations remain the main variables that could alter the current trader consensus before election day.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Ринок відкрито: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Обсяг
$84,118Дата завершення
Jun 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).PAN maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place behind Morena in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because recent national polling consistently places the party ahead of other opposition options in raw vote intention. Surveys from mid-2026 through August show PAN capturing 11-19 percent support, ahead of PRI (8-13 percent), Movimiento Ciudadano (9-12 percent), and smaller parties. The decision by PAN leadership to contest the election independently, rather than renew the prior alliance with PRI, has reinforced its distinct positioning. Fragmented opposition dynamics and the governing coalition’s continued dominance in first-place preference have left limited room for PRI, PVEM, or PT to overtake PAN in projected seat totals under Mexico’s mixed-member proportional system. Upcoming candidate selection and coalition negotiations remain the main variables that could alter the current trader consensus before election day.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Обсяг
$84,118Дата завершення
Jun 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...PAN maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place behind Morena in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because recent national polling consistently places the party ahead of other opposition options in raw vote intention. Surveys from mid-2026 through August show PAN capturing 11-19 percent support, ahead of PRI (8-13 percent), Movimiento Ciudadano (9-12 percent), and smaller parties. The decision by PAN leadership to contest the election independently, rather than renew the prior alliance with PRI, has reinforced its distinct positioning. Fragmented opposition dynamics and the governing coalition’s continued dominance in first-place preference have left limited room for PRI, PVEM, or PT to overtake PAN in projected seat totals under Mexico’s mixed-member proportional system. Upcoming candidate selection and coalition negotiations remain the main variables that could alter the current trader consensus before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
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