Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota Senate race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, with recent polling averages showing her ahead of Republican Michele Tafoya by roughly 4 to 6 points. Traders reflect this through implied probabilities shaped by Minnesota’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests since 2002, Flanagan’s primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, and her established profile as lieutenant governor. Tafoya secured the GOP nomination but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate election in over two decades. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, turnout patterns among independents, or renewed focus on state-level issues such as fraud concerns that have tested Democratic support in isolated polls. The November 3 election remains the resolution trigger.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$69,074 Обс.
$69,074 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$69,074 Обс.
$69,074 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$50,049 Обс.
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$19,025 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota Senate race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, with recent polling averages showing her ahead of Republican Michele Tafoya by roughly 4 to 6 points. Traders reflect this through implied probabilities shaped by Minnesota’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests since 2002, Flanagan’s primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, and her established profile as lieutenant governor. Tafoya secured the GOP nomination but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate election in over two decades. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, turnout patterns among independents, or renewed focus on state-level issues such as fraud concerns that have tested Democratic support in isolated polls. The November 3 election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$69,074Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota Senate race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, with recent polling averages showing her ahead of Republican Michele Tafoya by roughly 4 to 6 points. Traders reflect this through implied probabilities shaped by Minnesota’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests since 2002, Flanagan’s primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, and her established profile as lieutenant governor. Tafoya secured the GOP nomination but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate election in over two decades. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, turnout patterns among independents, or renewed focus on state-level issues such as fraud concerns that have tested Democratic support in isolated polls. The November 3 election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$69,074Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota Senate race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, with recent polling averages showing her ahead of Republican Michele Tafoya by roughly 4 to 6 points. Traders reflect this through implied probabilities shaped by Minnesota’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests since 2002, Flanagan’s primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, and her established profile as lieutenant governor. Tafoya secured the GOP nomination but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate election in over two decades. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, turnout patterns among independents, or renewed focus on state-level issues such as fraud concerns that have tested Democratic support in isolated polls. The November 3 election remains the resolution trigger.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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