Aaron Flint leads trader sentiment in Montana’s 1st Congressional District at 63 percent implied probability due to the open seat’s Republican lean, where Donald Trump carried the district by 12 points in 2024 and the Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican. Flint secured the GOP nomination in June with roughly 50 percent of the primary vote, backed early by Trump and retiring incumbent Ryan Zinke, while Democrat Sam Forstag narrowly won his primary with support from Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. A late-June internal poll showed a statistical tie, yet limited subsequent public data and the district’s structural advantages have sustained Flint’s edge ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
$11,174 Обс.
$11,174 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Aaron Flint (R)
63%
Sam Forstag (D)
38%
$11,174 Обс.
$11,174 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Aaron Flint (R)
$6,183 Обс.
63%
Sam Forstag (D)
$4,991 Обс.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint leads trader sentiment in Montana’s 1st Congressional District at 63 percent implied probability due to the open seat’s Republican lean, where Donald Trump carried the district by 12 points in 2024 and the Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican. Flint secured the GOP nomination in June with roughly 50 percent of the primary vote, backed early by Trump and retiring incumbent Ryan Zinke, while Democrat Sam Forstag narrowly won his primary with support from Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. A late-June internal poll showed a statistical tie, yet limited subsequent public data and the district’s structural advantages have sustained Flint’s edge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Обсяг
$11,174Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint leads trader sentiment in Montana’s 1st Congressional District at 63 percent implied probability due to the open seat’s Republican lean, where Donald Trump carried the district by 12 points in 2024 and the Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican. Flint secured the GOP nomination in June with roughly 50 percent of the primary vote, backed early by Trump and retiring incumbent Ryan Zinke, while Democrat Sam Forstag narrowly won his primary with support from Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. A late-June internal poll showed a statistical tie, yet limited subsequent public data and the district’s structural advantages have sustained Flint’s edge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$11,174Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Aaron Flint leads trader sentiment in Montana’s 1st Congressional District at 63 percent implied probability due to the open seat’s Republican lean, where Donald Trump carried the district by 12 points in 2024 and the Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican. Flint secured the GOP nomination in June with roughly 50 percent of the primary vote, backed early by Trump and retiring incumbent Ryan Zinke, while Democrat Sam Forstag narrowly won his primary with support from Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. A late-June internal poll showed a statistical tie, yet limited subsequent public data and the district’s structural advantages have sustained Flint’s edge ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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