Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman and screenwriter Steven Knight have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus for the next James Bond, with his 40.9% implied probability reflecting strong momentum from his Slow Horses spy-thriller role and Scottish heritage. Oldman’s suggestion that casting is complete but unannounced, paired with Knight’s hints about writing for a known actor, shifted sentiment sharply in Lowden’s favor over the past week. “No Bond chosen” at 21.8% captures ongoing uncertainty ahead of a potential year-end reveal, while Callum Turner, Jack Barton, and others trail amid a competitive shortlist. An official Amazon MGM announcement could rapidly resolve the market before 2027 production begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext James Bond actor?
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden 40.8%
No Bond chosen 21.6%
Jack Barton 11.8%
Callum Turner 10.0%
$758,571 Обс.
$758,571 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
Jack Lowden
41%
No Bond chosen
22%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
10%
Jack O'Connell
4%
Harris Dickinson
3%
Tom Francis
3%
Richard Madden
2%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Jonathan Bailey
1%
Jacob Elordi
1%
Theo James
1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Timothee Chalamet
<1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Jack Lowden 40.8%
No Bond chosen 21.6%
Jack Barton 11.8%
Callum Turner 10.0%
$758,571 Обс.
$758,571 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
Jack Lowden
$138,983 Обс.
41%
No Bond chosen
$356,410 Обс.
22%
Jack Barton
$32,673 Обс.
12%
Callum Turner
$57,091 Обс.
10%
Jack O'Connell
$16,079 Обс.
4%
Harris Dickinson
$11,034 Обс.
3%
Tom Francis
$7,584 Обс.
3%
Richard Madden
$5,805 Обс.
2%
Josh O'Connor
$8,402 Обс.
1%
Jonathan Bailey
$5,627 Обс.
1%
Jacob Elordi
$10,188 Обс.
1%
Theo James
$25,093 Обс.
1%
Paul Mescal
$5,656 Обс.
<1%
Timothee Chalamet
$6,314 Обс.
<1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
$17,705 Обс.
<1%
Tom Hardy
$8,427 Обс.
<1%
James Norton
$11,478 Обс.
<1%
Robert James-Collier
$5,577 Обс.
<1%
Tom Blyth
$2,709 Обс.
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
$6,443 Обс.
<1%
Henry Cavill
$5,982 Обс.
<1%
Michael B Jordan
$3,368 Обс.
<1%
Tom Holland
$5,851 Обс.
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
$4,093 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman and screenwriter Steven Knight have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus for the next James Bond, with his 40.9% implied probability reflecting strong momentum from his Slow Horses spy-thriller role and Scottish heritage. Oldman’s suggestion that casting is complete but unannounced, paired with Knight’s hints about writing for a known actor, shifted sentiment sharply in Lowden’s favor over the past week. “No Bond chosen” at 21.8% captures ongoing uncertainty ahead of a potential year-end reveal, while Callum Turner, Jack Barton, and others trail amid a competitive shortlist. An official Amazon MGM announcement could rapidly resolve the market before 2027 production begins.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Обсяг
$758,571Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman and screenwriter Steven Knight have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus for the next James Bond, with his 40.9% implied probability reflecting strong momentum from his Slow Horses spy-thriller role and Scottish heritage. Oldman’s suggestion that casting is complete but unannounced, paired with Knight’s hints about writing for a known actor, shifted sentiment sharply in Lowden’s favor over the past week. “No Bond chosen” at 21.8% captures ongoing uncertainty ahead of a potential year-end reveal, while Callum Turner, Jack Barton, and others trail amid a competitive shortlist. An official Amazon MGM announcement could rapidly resolve the market before 2027 production begins.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$758,571Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman and screenwriter Steven Knight have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus for the next James Bond, with his 40.9% implied probability reflecting strong momentum from his Slow Horses spy-thriller role and Scottish heritage. Oldman’s suggestion that casting is complete but unannounced, paired with Knight’s hints about writing for a known actor, shifted sentiment sharply in Lowden’s favor over the past week. “No Bond chosen” at 21.8% captures ongoing uncertainty ahead of a potential year-end reveal, while Callum Turner, Jack Barton, and others trail amid a competitive shortlist. An official Amazon MGM announcement could rapidly resolve the market before 2027 production begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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