LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 10th congressional district general election due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasting outlets. As the incumbent who won a 2024 special election and secured renomination with 84.8% in the June 2026 primary against a low-profile challenger, McIver benefits from unified party support and the district's voter registration edge. Republican nominee Carmen Bucco, a perennial candidate, faces structural barriers in this majority-Democratic area centered on Newark. Trader consensus at 95% for McIver aligns with the district's history, though late developments such as shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns, or legal resolutions around McIver's pending federal charges could still influence the final margin before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-10 House Election Winner
NJ-10 House Election Winner
$50,537 Обс.
$50,537 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
LaMonica McIver (D)
96%
Carmen Bucco (R)
4%
$50,537 Обс.
$50,537 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
LaMonica McIver (D)
$14,025 Обс.
96%
Carmen Bucco (R)
$36,511 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 10th congressional district general election due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasting outlets. As the incumbent who won a 2024 special election and secured renomination with 84.8% in the June 2026 primary against a low-profile challenger, McIver benefits from unified party support and the district's voter registration edge. Republican nominee Carmen Bucco, a perennial candidate, faces structural barriers in this majority-Democratic area centered on Newark. Trader consensus at 95% for McIver aligns with the district's history, though late developments such as shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns, or legal resolutions around McIver's pending federal charges could still influence the final margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$50,537Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 10th congressional district general election due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasting outlets. As the incumbent who won a 2024 special election and secured renomination with 84.8% in the June 2026 primary against a low-profile challenger, McIver benefits from unified party support and the district's voter registration edge. Republican nominee Carmen Bucco, a perennial candidate, faces structural barriers in this majority-Democratic area centered on Newark. Trader consensus at 95% for McIver aligns with the district's history, though late developments such as shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns, or legal resolutions around McIver's pending federal charges could still influence the final margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$50,537Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 10th congressional district general election due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasting outlets. As the incumbent who won a 2024 special election and secured renomination with 84.8% in the June 2026 primary against a low-profile challenger, McIver benefits from unified party support and the district's voter registration edge. Republican nominee Carmen Bucco, a perennial candidate, faces structural barriers in this majority-Democratic area centered on Newark. Trader consensus at 95% for McIver aligns with the district's history, though late developments such as shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns, or legal resolutions around McIver's pending federal charges could still influence the final margin before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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