The solidly Republican character of Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, which Trump carried by double digits in 2024 and which has never elected a Democrat, anchors trader consensus behind Republican nominee David Flippo at 74.5%. Flippo secured the GOP nomination in June after defeating an establishment-backed rival with President Trump’s endorsement, despite criticism over his recent move into the district. Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson, a former state legislator and primary winner, faces an uphill path in the open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Mark Amodei. Recent polling shows a narrower margin than historical baselines, prompting some forecasters to shift the rating toward “lean Republican,” yet the district’s partisan fundamentals and Flippo’s fundraising edge sustain the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNV-02 House Election Winner
NV-02 House Election Winner
$31,199 Обс.
$31,199 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
David Flippo (R)
75%
Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D)
25%
$31,199 Обс.
$31,199 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
David Flippo (R)
$16,119 Обс.
75%
Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D)
$15,081 Обс.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, which Trump carried by double digits in 2024 and which has never elected a Democrat, anchors trader consensus behind Republican nominee David Flippo at 74.5%. Flippo secured the GOP nomination in June after defeating an establishment-backed rival with President Trump’s endorsement, despite criticism over his recent move into the district. Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson, a former state legislator and primary winner, faces an uphill path in the open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Mark Amodei. Recent polling shows a narrower margin than historical baselines, prompting some forecasters to shift the rating toward “lean Republican,” yet the district’s partisan fundamentals and Flippo’s fundraising edge sustain the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,199Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, which Trump carried by double digits in 2024 and which has never elected a Democrat, anchors trader consensus behind Republican nominee David Flippo at 74.5%. Flippo secured the GOP nomination in June after defeating an establishment-backed rival with President Trump’s endorsement, despite criticism over his recent move into the district. Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson, a former state legislator and primary winner, faces an uphill path in the open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Mark Amodei. Recent polling shows a narrower margin than historical baselines, prompting some forecasters to shift the rating toward “lean Republican,” yet the district’s partisan fundamentals and Flippo’s fundraising edge sustain the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$31,199Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, which Trump carried by double digits in 2024 and which has never elected a Democrat, anchors trader consensus behind Republican nominee David Flippo at 74.5%. Flippo secured the GOP nomination in June after defeating an establishment-backed rival with President Trump’s endorsement, despite criticism over his recent move into the district. Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson, a former state legislator and primary winner, faces an uphill path in the open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Mark Amodei. Recent polling shows a narrower margin than historical baselines, prompting some forecasters to shift the rating toward “lean Republican,” yet the district’s partisan fundamentals and Flippo’s fundraising edge sustain the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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