Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis maintains a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 Cook PVI, and her established record since defeating the prior Democratic holder in 2020. She advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his nomination but faces structural disadvantages in a Staten Island and South Brooklyn constituency that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus aligns with independent ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. A late national wave, significant fundraising reversal, or unforeseen controversy could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-11 House Election Winner
NY-11 House Election Winner
$26,178 Обс.
$26,178 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
94%
Michael DeCillis (D)
7%
$26,178 Обс.
$26,178 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
$12,885 Обс.
94%
Michael DeCillis (D)
$13,293 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis maintains a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 Cook PVI, and her established record since defeating the prior Democratic holder in 2020. She advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his nomination but faces structural disadvantages in a Staten Island and South Brooklyn constituency that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus aligns with independent ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. A late national wave, significant fundraising reversal, or unforeseen controversy could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,178Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis maintains a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 Cook PVI, and her established record since defeating the prior Democratic holder in 2020. She advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his nomination but faces structural disadvantages in a Staten Island and South Brooklyn constituency that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus aligns with independent ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. A late national wave, significant fundraising reversal, or unforeseen controversy could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,178Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis maintains a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 Cook PVI, and her established record since defeating the prior Democratic holder in 2020. She advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his nomination but faces structural disadvantages in a Staten Island and South Brooklyn constituency that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus aligns with independent ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. A late national wave, significant fundraising reversal, or unforeseen controversy could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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