Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean in recent presidential voting and his substantial fundraising edge. Carey secured the Republican nomination without significant opposition in the May primary. Democratic nominee Don Leonard advanced narrowly from his own primary but trails in most assessments, though a June 2026 Democratic poll showed him within single digits amid unfavorable ratings for former President Trump in the district. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s voting history outweigh the challenger’s early momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
$15,622 Обс.
$15,622 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Carey (R)
76%
Don Leonard (D)
24%
$15,622 Обс.
$15,622 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Carey (R)
$5,041 Обс.
76%
Don Leonard (D)
$10,581 Обс.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean in recent presidential voting and his substantial fundraising edge. Carey secured the Republican nomination without significant opposition in the May primary. Democratic nominee Don Leonard advanced narrowly from his own primary but trails in most assessments, though a June 2026 Democratic poll showed him within single digits amid unfavorable ratings for former President Trump in the district. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s voting history outweigh the challenger’s early momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,622Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean in recent presidential voting and his substantial fundraising edge. Carey secured the Republican nomination without significant opposition in the May primary. Democratic nominee Don Leonard advanced narrowly from his own primary but trails in most assessments, though a June 2026 Democratic poll showed him within single digits amid unfavorable ratings for former President Trump in the district. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s voting history outweigh the challenger’s early momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$15,622Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean in recent presidential voting and his substantial fundraising edge. Carey secured the Republican nomination without significant opposition in the May primary. Democratic nominee Don Leonard advanced narrowly from his own primary but trails in most assessments, though a June 2026 Democratic poll showed him within single digits amid unfavorable ratings for former President Trump in the district. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s voting history outweigh the challenger’s early momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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