Tom Cole's commanding 94% implied probability in the OK-04 House election market reflects his long incumbency since 2003, decisive primary win, and the district's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. As chair of the House Appropriations Committee, Cole benefits from institutional influence and a history of reelection margins exceeding 60%. Mitchell Jacob's Democratic primary victory has not shifted the race's fundamentals ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus prices in limited upside for the challenger absent a major national Democratic wave or unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOK-04 House Election Winner
OK-04 House Election Winner
$27,505 Обс.
$27,505 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Cole (R)
94%
Mitchell Jacob (D)
6%
$27,505 Обс.
$27,505 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Cole (R)
$15,664 Обс.
94%
Mitchell Jacob (D)
$11,841 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole's commanding 94% implied probability in the OK-04 House election market reflects his long incumbency since 2003, decisive primary win, and the district's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. As chair of the House Appropriations Committee, Cole benefits from institutional influence and a history of reelection margins exceeding 60%. Mitchell Jacob's Democratic primary victory has not shifted the race's fundamentals ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus prices in limited upside for the challenger absent a major national Democratic wave or unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,505Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole's commanding 94% implied probability in the OK-04 House election market reflects his long incumbency since 2003, decisive primary win, and the district's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. As chair of the House Appropriations Committee, Cole benefits from institutional influence and a history of reelection margins exceeding 60%. Mitchell Jacob's Democratic primary victory has not shifted the race's fundamentals ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus prices in limited upside for the challenger absent a major national Democratic wave or unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$27,505Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Cole's commanding 94% implied probability in the OK-04 House election market reflects his long incumbency since 2003, decisive primary win, and the district's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. As chair of the House Appropriations Committee, Cole benefits from institutional influence and a history of reelection margins exceeding 60%. Mitchell Jacob's Democratic primary victory has not shifted the race's fundamentals ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus prices in limited upside for the challenger absent a major national Democratic wave or unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання