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icon for Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
Політика·явка

Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
Політика·явка

Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout

1.1M-1.2M 48%

1.2M-1.3M 43%

1M-1.1M 8.7%

1.3M-1.4M 4.8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

1.1M-1.2M 48%

1.2M-1.3M 43%

1M-1.1M 8.7%

1.3M-1.4M 4.8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

<900K

$319 Обс.

1%

900K-1M

$249 Обс.

1%

1M-1.1M

$207 Обс.

9%

1.1M-1.2M

$1,269 Обс.

48%

1.2M-1.3M

$595 Обс.

43%

1.3M-1.4M

$1,805 Обс.

5%

1.4M+

$676 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma’s US Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern facing Democrat N’Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open-seat race projected to produce a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state’s historically low participation rates, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near the middle turnout bands. Recent primaries and the August runoff drew only 22–26% of registered voters, underscoring persistent engagement challenges even in higher-profile cycles. With roughly 2.43 million registered voters and no competitive statewide contests to drive mobilization, general-election turnout will hinge on baseline Republican participation and limited Democratic crossover. The narrow spread between the leading 1.1–1.2 million and 1.2–1.3 million vote ranges reflects uncertainty over whether typical midterm patterns or further softening in a non-battleground environment will prevail.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$5,120
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma’s US Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern facing Democrat N’Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open-seat race projected to produce a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state’s historically low participation rates, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near the middle turnout bands. Recent primaries and the August runoff drew only 22–26% of registered voters, underscoring persistent engagement challenges even in higher-profile cycles. With roughly 2.43 million registered voters and no competitive statewide contests to drive mobilization, general-election turnout will hinge on baseline Republican participation and limited Democratic crossover. The narrow spread between the leading 1.1–1.2 million and 1.2–1.3 million vote ranges reflects uncertainty over whether typical midterm patterns or further softening in a non-battleground environment will prevail.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$5,120
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «1.1M-1.2M» з 48%, далі «1.2M-1.3M» з 43%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 18, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout» — «1.1M-1.2M» з 48%. Наступний — «1.2M-1.3M» з 43%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.