The next UK general election must occur no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022, with Parliament set to dissolve automatically five years after its first sitting on 9 July 2024 unless the prime minister requests an earlier dissolution. Current Prime Minister Andy Burnham, who took office in July 2026 following Keir Starmer’s resignation, has signaled no intent to call a snap vote, aligning with Labour’s working assumption of a full term through 2029. Recent opinion polls show a fragmented field, with Labour, Reform UK, and Conservatives each polling in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting limited momentum for any party to force an early contest. Upcoming factors include economic data releases, by-elections, and the 2027 parliamentary session that could shift incentives, though traders currently price low odds of a call before late 2028.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоВибори у Великій Британії призначив...?
$823,762 Обс.
December 31, 2026
12%
June 30, 2027
39%
$823,762 Обс.
December 31, 2026
12%
June 30, 2027
39%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...The next UK general election must occur no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022, with Parliament set to dissolve automatically five years after its first sitting on 9 July 2024 unless the prime minister requests an earlier dissolution. Current Prime Minister Andy Burnham, who took office in July 2026 following Keir Starmer’s resignation, has signaled no intent to call a snap vote, aligning with Labour’s working assumption of a full term through 2029. Recent opinion polls show a fragmented field, with Labour, Reform UK, and Conservatives each polling in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting limited momentum for any party to force an early contest. Upcoming factors include economic data releases, by-elections, and the 2027 parliamentary session that could shift incentives, though traders currently price low odds of a call before late 2028.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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