John McGuire’s incumbency in a Republican-leaning district that delivered him a 15-point victory in 2024 underpins trader consensus favoring his re-election. He secured his party nomination with 84% in the August 4 primary, reflecting consolidated GOP support after his narrow 2024 primary win over Bob Good. Tom Perriello, the Democratic nominee and former holder of the seat from 2009-2011, won his primary decisively and holds a fundraising edge with over $1.5 million cash on hand, yet faces structural headwinds in the rural Southside and Piedmont areas. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, and a late-summer poll showed a tight 47-44 margin. The September 9 candidate forum, which McGuire skipped, highlights ongoing contrasts in visibility but has not altered the district’s baseline partisan tilt ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVA-05 House Election Winner
VA-05 House Election Winner
$66,107 Обс.
$66,107 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
John McGuire (R)
85%
Tom Perriello (D)
14%
$66,107 Обс.
$66,107 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
John McGuire (R)
$32,601 Обс.
85%
Tom Perriello (D)
$33,506 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John McGuire’s incumbency in a Republican-leaning district that delivered him a 15-point victory in 2024 underpins trader consensus favoring his re-election. He secured his party nomination with 84% in the August 4 primary, reflecting consolidated GOP support after his narrow 2024 primary win over Bob Good. Tom Perriello, the Democratic nominee and former holder of the seat from 2009-2011, won his primary decisively and holds a fundraising edge with over $1.5 million cash on hand, yet faces structural headwinds in the rural Southside and Piedmont areas. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, and a late-summer poll showed a tight 47-44 margin. The September 9 candidate forum, which McGuire skipped, highlights ongoing contrasts in visibility but has not altered the district’s baseline partisan tilt ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$66,107Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John McGuire’s incumbency in a Republican-leaning district that delivered him a 15-point victory in 2024 underpins trader consensus favoring his re-election. He secured his party nomination with 84% in the August 4 primary, reflecting consolidated GOP support after his narrow 2024 primary win over Bob Good. Tom Perriello, the Democratic nominee and former holder of the seat from 2009-2011, won his primary decisively and holds a fundraising edge with over $1.5 million cash on hand, yet faces structural headwinds in the rural Southside and Piedmont areas. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, and a late-summer poll showed a tight 47-44 margin. The September 9 candidate forum, which McGuire skipped, highlights ongoing contrasts in visibility but has not altered the district’s baseline partisan tilt ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$66,107Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...John McGuire’s incumbency in a Republican-leaning district that delivered him a 15-point victory in 2024 underpins trader consensus favoring his re-election. He secured his party nomination with 84% in the August 4 primary, reflecting consolidated GOP support after his narrow 2024 primary win over Bob Good. Tom Perriello, the Democratic nominee and former holder of the seat from 2009-2011, won his primary decisively and holds a fundraising edge with over $1.5 million cash on hand, yet faces structural headwinds in the rural Southside and Piedmont areas. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, and a late-summer poll showed a tight 47-44 margin. The September 9 candidate forum, which McGuire skipped, highlights ongoing contrasts in visibility but has not altered the district’s baseline partisan tilt ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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