Trader consensus on OpenAI’s eventual IPO valuation remains closely split, with the $1.5–2.0 trillion bands holding the highest implied probabilities near 48 percent combined. Rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate by mid-2026, driven by enterprise adoption and API usage, supports elevated multiples, yet persistent operating losses and infrastructure commitments keep profitability distant. CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a minimum $1 trillion debut, coupled with the September 2026 decision to defer the listing until 2027 over AI safety and alignment priorities, has introduced timing uncertainty that favors higher private-round pricing in the $1.2–1.5 trillion range now under discussion. These factors create a balanced market view between growth momentum and execution risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1.75T–$2.0T 25%
$1.5T–$1.75T 23.4%
$2.5T+ 14.2%
$1.25T–$1.5T 11.2%
$171,065 Обс.
$171,065 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
<$1T
11%
$1.0T–$1.25T
7%
$1.25T–$1.5T
11%
$1.5T–$1.75T
23%
$1.75T–$2.0T
25%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
14%
$1.75T–$2.0T 25%
$1.5T–$1.75T 23.4%
$2.5T+ 14.2%
$1.25T–$1.5T 11.2%
$171,065 Обс.
$171,065 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
<$1T
$34,933 Обс.
11%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$22,126 Обс.
7%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$8,642 Обс.
11%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$10,044 Обс.
23%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$24,435 Обс.
25%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,950 Обс.
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$8,687 Обс.
5%
$2.5T+
$59,248 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on OpenAI’s eventual IPO valuation remains closely split, with the $1.5–2.0 trillion bands holding the highest implied probabilities near 48 percent combined. Rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate by mid-2026, driven by enterprise adoption and API usage, supports elevated multiples, yet persistent operating losses and infrastructure commitments keep profitability distant. CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a minimum $1 trillion debut, coupled with the September 2026 decision to defer the listing until 2027 over AI safety and alignment priorities, has introduced timing uncertainty that favors higher private-round pricing in the $1.2–1.5 trillion range now under discussion. These factors create a balanced market view between growth momentum and execution risks.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$171,065Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on OpenAI’s eventual IPO valuation remains closely split, with the $1.5–2.0 trillion bands holding the highest implied probabilities near 48 percent combined. Rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate by mid-2026, driven by enterprise adoption and API usage, supports elevated multiples, yet persistent operating losses and infrastructure commitments keep profitability distant. CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a minimum $1 trillion debut, coupled with the September 2026 decision to defer the listing until 2027 over AI safety and alignment priorities, has introduced timing uncertainty that favors higher private-round pricing in the $1.2–1.5 trillion range now under discussion. These factors create a balanced market view between growth momentum and execution risks.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$171,065Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on OpenAI’s eventual IPO valuation remains closely split, with the $1.5–2.0 trillion bands holding the highest implied probabilities near 48 percent combined. Rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate by mid-2026, driven by enterprise adoption and API usage, supports elevated multiples, yet persistent operating losses and infrastructure commitments keep profitability distant. CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a minimum $1 trillion debut, coupled with the September 2026 decision to defer the listing until 2027 over AI safety and alignment priorities, has introduced timing uncertainty that favors higher private-round pricing in the $1.2–1.5 trillion range now under discussion. These factors create a balanced market view between growth momentum and execution risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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