Recent polls show a tight four-way contest for the top spots in Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, with Die Linke narrowly ahead at 19–22%, followed closely by the CDU (18–20%) and AfD (17–18%), while the Greens sit at 15–17% and the SPD at 12–15%. This positioning leaves the Greens as the consensus favorite for fourth place in trader assessments, though modest shifts in any of the leading parties could alter the order. The CDU’s candidate change and sustained competition among the top three, combined with stable but limited support for smaller parties like the FDP, BSW, and FW, have kept probabilities compressed. Late-campaign events, turnout variations in key districts, or last-minute polling movements could separate the field before election night.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGrüne 48%
AfD 29%
SPD 13%
CDU 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
48%
AfD
29%
SPD
13%
CDU
9%
Linke
4%
FDP
3%
BSW
1%
FW
1%
Grüne 48%
AfD 29%
SPD 13%
CDU 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
$3,796 KL.
48%
AfD
$3,368 KL.
29%
SPD
$136 KL.
13%
CDU
$141 KL.
9%
Linke
$505 KL.
4%
FDP
$144 KL.
3%
BSW
$187 KL.
1%
FW
$129 KL.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls show a tight four-way contest for the top spots in Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, with Die Linke narrowly ahead at 19–22%, followed closely by the CDU (18–20%) and AfD (17–18%), while the Greens sit at 15–17% and the SPD at 12–15%. This positioning leaves the Greens as the consensus favorite for fourth place in trader assessments, though modest shifts in any of the leading parties could alter the order. The CDU’s candidate change and sustained competition among the top three, combined with stable but limited support for smaller parties like the FDP, BSW, and FW, have kept probabilities compressed. Late-campaign events, turnout variations in key districts, or last-minute polling movements could separate the field before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,404Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls show a tight four-way contest for the top spots in Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, with Die Linke narrowly ahead at 19–22%, followed closely by the CDU (18–20%) and AfD (17–18%), while the Greens sit at 15–17% and the SPD at 12–15%. This positioning leaves the Greens as the consensus favorite for fourth place in trader assessments, though modest shifts in any of the leading parties could alter the order. The CDU’s candidate change and sustained competition among the top three, combined with stable but limited support for smaller parties like the FDP, BSW, and FW, have kept probabilities compressed. Late-campaign events, turnout variations in key districts, or last-minute polling movements could separate the field before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Khối lượng
$8,404Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show a tight four-way contest for the top spots in Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, with Die Linke narrowly ahead at 19–22%, followed closely by the CDU (18–20%) and AfD (17–18%), while the Greens sit at 15–17% and the SPD at 12–15%. This positioning leaves the Greens as the consensus favorite for fourth place in trader assessments, though modest shifts in any of the leading parties could alter the order. The CDU’s candidate change and sustained competition among the top three, combined with stable but limited support for smaller parties like the FDP, BSW, and FW, have kept probabilities compressed. Late-campaign events, turnout variations in key districts, or last-minute polling movements could separate the field before election night.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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