Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Labor Secretary, advanced from the June 2026 primary as the clear Democratic frontrunner in California's 38th congressional district, an open seat following redistricting and the incumbent's decision to run elsewhere. She faces Republican Pedro Casas in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with its voter registration edge and historical voting patterns in the Los Angeles and Orange County areas it covers. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with this structural advantage and Solis's established profile and fundraising. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$63,872 KL.
$63,872 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
1%
$63,872 KL.
$63,872 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$32,210 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$31,662 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Labor Secretary, advanced from the June 2026 primary as the clear Democratic frontrunner in California's 38th congressional district, an open seat following redistricting and the incumbent's decision to run elsewhere. She faces Republican Pedro Casas in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with its voter registration edge and historical voting patterns in the Los Angeles and Orange County areas it covers. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with this structural advantage and Solis's established profile and fundraising. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$63,872Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Labor Secretary, advanced from the June 2026 primary as the clear Democratic frontrunner in California's 38th congressional district, an open seat following redistricting and the incumbent's decision to run elsewhere. She faces Republican Pedro Casas in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with its voter registration edge and historical voting patterns in the Los Angeles and Orange County areas it covers. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with this structural advantage and Solis's established profile and fundraising. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$63,872Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Labor Secretary, advanced from the June 2026 primary as the clear Democratic frontrunner in California's 38th congressional district, an open seat following redistricting and the incumbent's decision to run elsewhere. She faces Republican Pedro Casas in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with its voter registration edge and historical voting patterns in the Los Angeles and Orange County areas it covers. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with this structural advantage and Solis's established profile and fundraising. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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