The wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential field leaves the vice-presidential nomination market highly fragmented, with no contender above single digits in implied probability as traders price in uncertainty over the eventual nominee's selection criteria. Prominent governors and senators such as Gretchen Whitmer and Elissa Slotkin draw support for potential swing-state electoral math and governing records, while figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez reflect ideological and fundraising constituencies within the party base. Jon Ossoff and Andy Beshear appear in pricing due to Sun Belt positioning and crossover appeal. Consolidation could occur after early primary results, convention dynamics, or explicit signals from leading presidential contenders regarding geographic or demographic balance. Upcoming state-level contests and midterm positioning will likely clarify pathways before formal nomination processes begin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10%
Gretchen Whitmer 6.3%
Elissa Slotkin 6.2%
Jon Ossoff 5.7%
$95,874 KL.
$95,874 KL.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Gretchen Whitmer
6%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Andy Beshear
6%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Raphael Warnock
5%
J.B. Pritzker
5%
Gina Raimondo
5%
LeBron James
4%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
James Talarico
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
Rahm Emanuel
4%
Mark Kelly
4%
Wes Moore
4%
Kim Kardashian
4%
Ro Khanna
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Barack Obama
3%
Roy Cooper
2%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Jared Polis
2%
Tim Walz
2%
Oprah Winfrey
2%
Hunter Biden
2%
Jon Stewart
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
George Clooney
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Mark Cuban
<1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10%
Gretchen Whitmer 6.3%
Elissa Slotkin 6.2%
Jon Ossoff 5.7%
$95,874 KL.
$95,874 KL.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Gretchen Whitmer
6%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Andy Beshear
6%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Raphael Warnock
5%
J.B. Pritzker
5%
Gina Raimondo
5%
LeBron James
4%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
James Talarico
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
Rahm Emanuel
4%
Mark Kelly
4%
Wes Moore
4%
Kim Kardashian
4%
Ro Khanna
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Barack Obama
3%
Roy Cooper
2%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Jared Polis
2%
Tim Walz
2%
Oprah Winfrey
2%
Hunter Biden
2%
Jon Stewart
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
George Clooney
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Mark Cuban
<1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential field leaves the vice-presidential nomination market highly fragmented, with no contender above single digits in implied probability as traders price in uncertainty over the eventual nominee's selection criteria. Prominent governors and senators such as Gretchen Whitmer and Elissa Slotkin draw support for potential swing-state electoral math and governing records, while figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez reflect ideological and fundraising constituencies within the party base. Jon Ossoff and Andy Beshear appear in pricing due to Sun Belt positioning and crossover appeal. Consolidation could occur after early primary results, convention dynamics, or explicit signals from leading presidential contenders regarding geographic or demographic balance. Upcoming state-level contests and midterm positioning will likely clarify pathways before formal nomination processes begin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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