**Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a commanding position in Florida’s 4th Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s strong consensus favoring his re-election.** The district, encompassing parts of Duval, Nassau, and Clay counties, is rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, consistent with Bean’s 57.3% victory in 2024. Bean secured the nomination without primary opposition and benefits from substantial fundraising—over $2 million raised with significant cash reserves—along with endorsements including from former President Trump. Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway won her August 18 primary but trails far behind in resources and faces the same structural headwinds that produced double-digit margins for Bean in prior cycles. Minor-party candidates appear on the November 3 ballot but have not altered the competitive landscape. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would shift the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-04 House Election Winner
FL-04 House Election Winner
$28,238 KL.
$28,238 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Aaron Bean (R)
89%
LaShonda Holloway (D)
12%
$28,238 KL.
$28,238 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Aaron Bean (R)
$16,952 KL.
89%
LaShonda Holloway (D)
$11,286 KL.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a commanding position in Florida’s 4th Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s strong consensus favoring his re-election.** The district, encompassing parts of Duval, Nassau, and Clay counties, is rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, consistent with Bean’s 57.3% victory in 2024. Bean secured the nomination without primary opposition and benefits from substantial fundraising—over $2 million raised with significant cash reserves—along with endorsements including from former President Trump. Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway won her August 18 primary but trails far behind in resources and faces the same structural headwinds that produced double-digit margins for Bean in prior cycles. Minor-party candidates appear on the November 3 ballot but have not altered the competitive landscape. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would shift the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,238Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a commanding position in Florida’s 4th Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s strong consensus favoring his re-election.** The district, encompassing parts of Duval, Nassau, and Clay counties, is rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, consistent with Bean’s 57.3% victory in 2024. Bean secured the nomination without primary opposition and benefits from substantial fundraising—over $2 million raised with significant cash reserves—along with endorsements including from former President Trump. Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway won her August 18 primary but trails far behind in resources and faces the same structural headwinds that produced double-digit margins for Bean in prior cycles. Minor-party candidates appear on the November 3 ballot but have not altered the competitive landscape. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would shift the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,238Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a commanding position in Florida’s 4th Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s strong consensus favoring his re-election.** The district, encompassing parts of Duval, Nassau, and Clay counties, is rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, consistent with Bean’s 57.3% victory in 2024. Bean secured the nomination without primary opposition and benefits from substantial fundraising—over $2 million raised with significant cash reserves—along with endorsements including from former President Trump. Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway won her August 18 primary but trails far behind in resources and faces the same structural headwinds that produced double-digit margins for Bean in prior cycles. Minor-party candidates appear on the November 3 ballot but have not altered the competitive landscape. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would shift the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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