Redistricting following Florida’s 2026 map changes shifted the 9th District’s partisan lean substantially toward Republicans, moving the Cook Partisan Voting Index from D+4 to R+8 and incorporating additional conservative rural counties. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring Dan Green at 66.5 percent over incumbent Darren Soto at 33.5 percent. Green, a Navy veteran and former Trump defense official who prevailed in the August 18 Republican primary, has secured endorsements from sheriffs and conservative groups while highlighting affordability and tax issues. Soto, unopposed in the Democratic primary, continues to emphasize cost-of-living concerns but faces the altered district boundaries. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely or Lean Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$20,847 KL.
$20,847 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Dan Green (R)
68%
Darren Soto (D)
34%
$20,847 KL.
$20,847 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Dan Green (R)
$11,993 KL.
68%
Darren Soto (D)
$8,854 KL.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following Florida’s 2026 map changes shifted the 9th District’s partisan lean substantially toward Republicans, moving the Cook Partisan Voting Index from D+4 to R+8 and incorporating additional conservative rural counties. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring Dan Green at 66.5 percent over incumbent Darren Soto at 33.5 percent. Green, a Navy veteran and former Trump defense official who prevailed in the August 18 Republican primary, has secured endorsements from sheriffs and conservative groups while highlighting affordability and tax issues. Soto, unopposed in the Democratic primary, continues to emphasize cost-of-living concerns but faces the altered district boundaries. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely or Lean Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,847Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following Florida’s 2026 map changes shifted the 9th District’s partisan lean substantially toward Republicans, moving the Cook Partisan Voting Index from D+4 to R+8 and incorporating additional conservative rural counties. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring Dan Green at 66.5 percent over incumbent Darren Soto at 33.5 percent. Green, a Navy veteran and former Trump defense official who prevailed in the August 18 Republican primary, has secured endorsements from sheriffs and conservative groups while highlighting affordability and tax issues. Soto, unopposed in the Democratic primary, continues to emphasize cost-of-living concerns but faces the altered district boundaries. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely or Lean Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$20,847Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following Florida’s 2026 map changes shifted the 9th District’s partisan lean substantially toward Republicans, moving the Cook Partisan Voting Index from D+4 to R+8 and incorporating additional conservative rural counties. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring Dan Green at 66.5 percent over incumbent Darren Soto at 33.5 percent. Green, a Navy veteran and former Trump defense official who prevailed in the August 18 Republican primary, has secured endorsements from sheriffs and conservative groups while highlighting affordability and tax issues. Soto, unopposed in the Democratic primary, continues to emphasize cost-of-living concerns but faces the altered district boundaries. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely or Lean Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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