Gus Bilirakis maintains a commanding lead in the Florida 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and Donald Trump's double-digit margin there in 2024. As a 10-term incumbent who secured 71% in the prior cycle, Bilirakis benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, and an unopposed Republican primary. Redistricting shifted boundaries but preserved a safe partisan edge, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Kimberly Overman, who narrowly won the Democratic primary in August, faces structural barriers as a former county commissioner entering a low-turnout environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though current trader consensus views such shifts as low-probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-12 House Election Winner
FL-12 House Election Winner
$57,400 KL.
$57,400 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Gus Bilirakis (R)
93%
Kimberly Overman (D)
9%
$57,400 KL.
$57,400 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Gus Bilirakis (R)
$23,305 KL.
93%
Kimberly Overman (D)
$34,096 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gus Bilirakis maintains a commanding lead in the Florida 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and Donald Trump's double-digit margin there in 2024. As a 10-term incumbent who secured 71% in the prior cycle, Bilirakis benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, and an unopposed Republican primary. Redistricting shifted boundaries but preserved a safe partisan edge, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Kimberly Overman, who narrowly won the Democratic primary in August, faces structural barriers as a former county commissioner entering a low-turnout environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though current trader consensus views such shifts as low-probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$57,400Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gus Bilirakis maintains a commanding lead in the Florida 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and Donald Trump's double-digit margin there in 2024. As a 10-term incumbent who secured 71% in the prior cycle, Bilirakis benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, and an unopposed Republican primary. Redistricting shifted boundaries but preserved a safe partisan edge, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Kimberly Overman, who narrowly won the Democratic primary in August, faces structural barriers as a former county commissioner entering a low-turnout environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though current trader consensus views such shifts as low-probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$57,400Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Gus Bilirakis maintains a commanding lead in the Florida 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and Donald Trump's double-digit margin there in 2024. As a 10-term incumbent who secured 71% in the prior cycle, Bilirakis benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, and an unopposed Republican primary. Redistricting shifted boundaries but preserved a safe partisan edge, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Kimberly Overman, who narrowly won the Democratic primary in August, faces structural barriers as a former county commissioner entering a low-turnout environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though current trader consensus views such shifts as low-probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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