Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, his long tenure representing the district, and decisive primary victories. Simpson secured the GOP nomination in May 2026 with 63% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary. All major forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican. Simpson’s fundraising edge exceeds $1.1 million compared with Gilbreath’s roughly $100,000, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and consistent past margins. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal, health development, or extraordinary turnout surge favoring Democrats in rural eastern Idaho counties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtID-02 House Election Winner
ID-02 House Election Winner
$34,627 KL.
$34,627 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Mike Simpson (R)
95%
Ellie Gilbreath (D)
6%
$34,627 KL.
$34,627 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Mike Simpson (R)
$14,251 KL.
95%
Ellie Gilbreath (D)
$20,376 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, his long tenure representing the district, and decisive primary victories. Simpson secured the GOP nomination in May 2026 with 63% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary. All major forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican. Simpson’s fundraising edge exceeds $1.1 million compared with Gilbreath’s roughly $100,000, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and consistent past margins. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal, health development, or extraordinary turnout surge favoring Democrats in rural eastern Idaho counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$34,627Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, his long tenure representing the district, and decisive primary victories. Simpson secured the GOP nomination in May 2026 with 63% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary. All major forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican. Simpson’s fundraising edge exceeds $1.1 million compared with Gilbreath’s roughly $100,000, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and consistent past margins. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal, health development, or extraordinary turnout surge favoring Democrats in rural eastern Idaho counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$34,627Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, his long tenure representing the district, and decisive primary victories. Simpson secured the GOP nomination in May 2026 with 63% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary. All major forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Republican. Simpson’s fundraising edge exceeds $1.1 million compared with Gilbreath’s roughly $100,000, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and consistent past margins. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal, health development, or extraordinary turnout surge favoring Democrats in rural eastern Idaho counties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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