Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the IL-01 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results such as the party’s 65.8% share in 2024. Jackson secured his primary nomination without meaningful opposition, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, a political newcomer, advanced from a low-turnout primary with limited fundraising and no established statewide profile. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the absence of recent polls showing any competitive shift. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical margins in the South Side Chicago-based district and the lack of major developments that would alter fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors remain speculative at this stage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-01 House Election Winner
IL-01 House Election Winner
$54,783 KL.
$54,783 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
3%
$54,783 KL.
$54,783 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
$30,079 KL.
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
$24,704 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the IL-01 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results such as the party’s 65.8% share in 2024. Jackson secured his primary nomination without meaningful opposition, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, a political newcomer, advanced from a low-turnout primary with limited fundraising and no established statewide profile. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the absence of recent polls showing any competitive shift. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical margins in the South Side Chicago-based district and the lack of major developments that would alter fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors remain speculative at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$54,783Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the IL-01 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results such as the party’s 65.8% share in 2024. Jackson secured his primary nomination without meaningful opposition, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, a political newcomer, advanced from a low-turnout primary with limited fundraising and no established statewide profile. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the absence of recent polls showing any competitive shift. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical margins in the South Side Chicago-based district and the lack of major developments that would alter fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors remain speculative at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$54,783Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the IL-01 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results such as the party’s 65.8% share in 2024. Jackson secured his primary nomination without meaningful opposition, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, a political newcomer, advanced from a low-turnout primary with limited fundraising and no established statewide profile. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the absence of recent polls showing any competitive shift. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical margins in the South Side Chicago-based district and the lack of major developments that would alter fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors remain speculative at this stage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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