Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 9th Congressional District in a crowded March 2026 primary, defeating several rivals in the open seat left by retiring longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, reflected in its partisan voter index and historical results, underpins trader consensus favoring Biss at 94.5 percent. Biss benefits from established name recognition as Evanston mayor, prior state legislative service, substantial fundraising, and broad endorsements. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who prevailed in his low-turnout primary, faces structural disadvantages in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$31,625 KL.
$31,625 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Daniel Biss (D)
95%
John Elleson (R)
5%
$31,625 KL.
$31,625 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Daniel Biss (D)
$17,371 KL.
95%
John Elleson (R)
$14,254 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 9th Congressional District in a crowded March 2026 primary, defeating several rivals in the open seat left by retiring longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, reflected in its partisan voter index and historical results, underpins trader consensus favoring Biss at 94.5 percent. Biss benefits from established name recognition as Evanston mayor, prior state legislative service, substantial fundraising, and broad endorsements. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who prevailed in his low-turnout primary, faces structural disadvantages in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,625Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 9th Congressional District in a crowded March 2026 primary, defeating several rivals in the open seat left by retiring longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, reflected in its partisan voter index and historical results, underpins trader consensus favoring Biss at 94.5 percent. Biss benefits from established name recognition as Evanston mayor, prior state legislative service, substantial fundraising, and broad endorsements. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who prevailed in his low-turnout primary, faces structural disadvantages in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$31,625Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 9th Congressional District in a crowded March 2026 primary, defeating several rivals in the open seat left by retiring longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, reflected in its partisan voter index and historical results, underpins trader consensus favoring Biss at 94.5 percent. Biss benefits from established name recognition as Evanston mayor, prior state legislative service, substantial fundraising, and broad endorsements. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who prevailed in his low-turnout primary, faces structural disadvantages in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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