**Vice President JD Vance remains firmly in office through September 2026, with trader consensus on related prediction markets assigning roughly a 6-10% implied probability of departure by December 31.** Vance has expanded his portfolio with roles in fraud oversight, diplomatic efforts tied to Iran negotiations, and midterm campaigning, while Trump has privately signaled preference for him as the 2028 Republican standard-bearer. Public appearances, including a keynote at the recent GOP midterm convention where crowds chanted support for a future presidential bid, reinforce his position as the leading contender among potential successors. No official announcements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate resignation, removal, or term-limit issues. Vance has repeatedly stated he and his family will evaluate next steps only after the November midterms, aligning his focus with current duties rather than any exit. Structural factors such as the absence of confirmed scandals, legal proceedings, or intra-administration conflicts further support the low probability of change before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$243,216 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
5%
$243,216 KL.
December 31
$151,909 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Vice President JD Vance remains firmly in office through September 2026, with trader consensus on related prediction markets assigning roughly a 6-10% implied probability of departure by December 31.**
Vance has expanded his portfolio with roles in fraud oversight, diplomatic efforts tied to Iran negotiations, and midterm campaigning, while Trump has privately signaled preference for him as the 2028 Republican standard-bearer. Public appearances, including a keynote at the recent GOP midterm convention where crowds chanted support for a future presidential bid, reinforce his position as the leading contender among potential successors. No official announcements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate resignation, removal, or term-limit issues. Vance has repeatedly stated he and his family will evaluate next steps only after the November midterms, aligning his focus with current duties rather than any exit. Structural factors such as the absence of confirmed scandals, legal proceedings, or intra-administration conflicts further support the low probability of change before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$243,216Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Vice President JD Vance remains firmly in office through September 2026, with trader consensus on related prediction markets assigning roughly a 6-10% implied probability of departure by December 31.**
Vance has expanded his portfolio with roles in fraud oversight, diplomatic efforts tied to Iran negotiations, and midterm campaigning, while Trump has privately signaled preference for him as the 2028 Republican standard-bearer. Public appearances, including a keynote at the recent GOP midterm convention where crowds chanted support for a future presidential bid, reinforce his position as the leading contender among potential successors. No official announcements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate resignation, removal, or term-limit issues. Vance has repeatedly stated he and his family will evaluate next steps only after the November midterms, aligning his focus with current duties rather than any exit. Structural factors such as the absence of confirmed scandals, legal proceedings, or intra-administration conflicts further support the low probability of change before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$243,216Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**Vice President JD Vance remains firmly in office through September 2026, with trader consensus on related prediction markets assigning roughly a 6-10% implied probability of departure by December 31.** Vance has expanded his portfolio with roles in fraud oversight, diplomatic efforts tied to Iran negotiations, and midterm campaigning, while Trump has privately signaled preference for him as the 2028 Republican standard-bearer. Public appearances, including a keynote at the recent GOP midterm convention where crowds chanted support for a future presidential bid, reinforce his position as the leading contender among potential successors. No official announcements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate resignation, removal, or term-limit issues. Vance has repeatedly stated he and his family will evaluate next steps only after the November midterms, aligning his focus with current duties rather than any exit. Structural factors such as the absence of confirmed scandals, legal proceedings, or intra-administration conflicts further support the low probability of change before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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