Redistricting following the Supreme Court decision and subsequent state legislative map changes transformed Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District into a strongly Republican seat anchored around Baton Rouge, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly R+16 and Trump carrying it by double digits in recent cycles. Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the new lines, leaving an open contest. Multiple Republican state legislators, including Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds, entered the race with substantial fundraising and party support, while Democratic candidates remain lesser-known and trail significantly in early polling. Louisiana’s jungle primary on November 3, with a potential December runoff, reinforces trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail absent major late developments such as candidate withdrawals or unexpected turnout shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLA-06 House Election Winner
LA-06 House Election Winner
$70,756 KL.
$70,756 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$70,756 KL.
$70,756 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$39,578 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$31,178 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the Supreme Court decision and subsequent state legislative map changes transformed Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District into a strongly Republican seat anchored around Baton Rouge, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly R+16 and Trump carrying it by double digits in recent cycles. Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the new lines, leaving an open contest. Multiple Republican state legislators, including Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds, entered the race with substantial fundraising and party support, while Democratic candidates remain lesser-known and trail significantly in early polling. Louisiana’s jungle primary on November 3, with a potential December runoff, reinforces trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail absent major late developments such as candidate withdrawals or unexpected turnout shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$70,756Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the Supreme Court decision and subsequent state legislative map changes transformed Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District into a strongly Republican seat anchored around Baton Rouge, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly R+16 and Trump carrying it by double digits in recent cycles. Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the new lines, leaving an open contest. Multiple Republican state legislators, including Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds, entered the race with substantial fundraising and party support, while Democratic candidates remain lesser-known and trail significantly in early polling. Louisiana’s jungle primary on November 3, with a potential December runoff, reinforces trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail absent major late developments such as candidate withdrawals or unexpected turnout shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$70,756Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following the Supreme Court decision and subsequent state legislative map changes transformed Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District into a strongly Republican seat anchored around Baton Rouge, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly R+16 and Trump carrying it by double digits in recent cycles. Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the new lines, leaving an open contest. Multiple Republican state legislators, including Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds, entered the race with substantial fundraising and party support, while Democratic candidates remain lesser-known and trail significantly in early polling. Louisiana’s jungle primary on November 3, with a potential December runoff, reinforces trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail absent major late developments such as candidate withdrawals or unexpected turnout shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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