Jake Auchincloss secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with 72 percent of the vote, positioning the incumbent to defend a seat in a district rated solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The area has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including a substantial margin for the party in the prior presidential election. Auchincloss maintains a significant fundraising lead and benefits from established name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Stalcup, the Republican nominee and a physicist by background, advanced unopposed in his primary but trails substantially in resources and faces structural headwinds typical of the district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or shifts in national conditions could still alter the outlook before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMA-04 House Election Winner
MA-04 House Election Winner
$47,264 KL.
$47,264 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jake Auchincloss (D)
97%
Tom Stalcup (R)
<1%
$47,264 KL.
$47,264 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jake Auchincloss (D)
$23,504 KL.
97%
Tom Stalcup (R)
$23,760 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jake Auchincloss secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with 72 percent of the vote, positioning the incumbent to defend a seat in a district rated solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The area has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including a substantial margin for the party in the prior presidential election. Auchincloss maintains a significant fundraising lead and benefits from established name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Stalcup, the Republican nominee and a physicist by background, advanced unopposed in his primary but trails substantially in resources and faces structural headwinds typical of the district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or shifts in national conditions could still alter the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$47,264Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jake Auchincloss secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with 72 percent of the vote, positioning the incumbent to defend a seat in a district rated solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The area has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including a substantial margin for the party in the prior presidential election. Auchincloss maintains a significant fundraising lead and benefits from established name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Stalcup, the Republican nominee and a physicist by background, advanced unopposed in his primary but trails substantially in resources and faces structural headwinds typical of the district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or shifts in national conditions could still alter the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$47,264Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Jake Auchincloss secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with 72 percent of the vote, positioning the incumbent to defend a seat in a district rated solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The area has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including a substantial margin for the party in the prior presidential election. Auchincloss maintains a significant fundraising lead and benefits from established name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Stalcup, the Republican nominee and a physicist by background, advanced unopposed in his primary but trails substantially in resources and faces structural headwinds typical of the district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or shifts in national conditions could still alter the outlook before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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