U.S. prosecutors are advancing a narco-terrorism and cocaine importation case against former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro following his January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, remain detained in Brooklyn while awaiting a June 2027 trial date, with both having pleaded not guilty to charges carrying potential life sentences. Defense filings in early September 2026 seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, citing Maduro’s status as head of state under Venezuelan recognition, with oral arguments scheduled for November. These procedural challenges, combined with questions over the legality of the extraterritorial seizure and complex evidentiary issues, underpin trader consensus favoring no prison time as the leading outcome while assigning meaningful probability to lengthy sentences if the case proceeds to conviction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhông ngồi tù 43%
60+ 27%
20–40 14.3%
40–60 9.7%
$714,540 KL.
$714,540 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
Không ngồi tù
43%
<20
5%
20–40
14%
40–60
10%
60+
27%
Không ngồi tù 43%
60+ 27%
20–40 14.3%
40–60 9.7%
$714,540 KL.
$714,540 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
Không ngồi tù
$438,823 KL.
43%
<20
$107,022 KL.
5%
20–40
$56,724 KL.
14%
40–60
$24,518 KL.
10%
60+
$87,453 KL.
27%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. prosecutors are advancing a narco-terrorism and cocaine importation case against former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro following his January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, remain detained in Brooklyn while awaiting a June 2027 trial date, with both having pleaded not guilty to charges carrying potential life sentences. Defense filings in early September 2026 seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, citing Maduro’s status as head of state under Venezuelan recognition, with oral arguments scheduled for November. These procedural challenges, combined with questions over the legality of the extraterritorial seizure and complex evidentiary issues, underpin trader consensus favoring no prison time as the leading outcome while assigning meaningful probability to lengthy sentences if the case proceeds to conviction.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$714,540Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. prosecutors are advancing a narco-terrorism and cocaine importation case against former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro following his January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, remain detained in Brooklyn while awaiting a June 2027 trial date, with both having pleaded not guilty to charges carrying potential life sentences. Defense filings in early September 2026 seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, citing Maduro’s status as head of state under Venezuelan recognition, with oral arguments scheduled for November. These procedural challenges, combined with questions over the legality of the extraterritorial seizure and complex evidentiary issues, underpin trader consensus favoring no prison time as the leading outcome while assigning meaningful probability to lengthy sentences if the case proceeds to conviction.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$714,540Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. prosecutors are advancing a narco-terrorism and cocaine importation case against former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro following his January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, remain detained in Brooklyn while awaiting a June 2027 trial date, with both having pleaded not guilty to charges carrying potential life sentences. Defense filings in early September 2026 seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, citing Maduro’s status as head of state under Venezuelan recognition, with oral arguments scheduled for November. These procedural challenges, combined with questions over the legality of the extraterritorial seizure and complex evidentiary issues, underpin trader consensus favoring no prison time as the leading outcome while assigning meaningful probability to lengthy sentences if the case proceeds to conviction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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